Bundesliga · AI Match Analysis
VfL Wolfsburg
VS
Final
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07AI Prediction & Match Report
Thu 21 May 2026, 18:30 UTC Bundesliga Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg Benjamin Brand, Germany Confidence 70%
Open full AI analysis Low risk
30 Watching
Match overview
VfL Wolfsburg win
62%
Draw
23%
SC Paderborn 07 win
14%
VfL Wolfsburg (16th) faces SC Paderborn 07 in a critical relegation-threatened context. While Wolfsburg's home record is poor ([record withheld]), the motivation asymmetry and Paderborn's defensive struggles (11 goals conceded in 5) suggest a home lean at 1.70.
Team news & motivation
VfL Wolfsburg
HomeLDWLD
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
SC Paderborn 07
AwayWDWDL
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Injuries & suspensions
VfL Wolfsburg
- M. Arnold — Groin Injury
- B. Dardai — Knee Injury
- K. Fischer — Thigh Injury
- Rogerio — Muscle Injury
- J. Seelt — Knee Injury
- Vini Souza — Yellow Cards
- P. Wimmer — Thigh Injury
- J. Wind — Muscle Injury
- M. Arnold — Groin Injury
- B. Dardai — Knee Injury
- K. Fischer — Thigh Injury
- Rogerio — Muscle Injury
- J. Seelt — Knee Injury
- Vini Souza — Yellow Cards
- P. Wimmer — Thigh Injury
- J. Wind — Muscle Injury
SC Paderborn 07
- M. Baur — Yellow Cards
- R. Obermair — Achilles Tendon Injury
- M. Baur — Yellow Cards
- R. Obermair — Achilles Tendon Injury
Probable lineups
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1-4-2Coach: Dieter Hecking
Starting XI
- 01 K. Grabara · G
- 06 J. Belocian · D
- 03 D. Vavro · D
- 04 K. Koulierakis · D
- 32 M. Svanberg · M
- 26 S. Kumbedi · M
- 31 Y. Gerhardt · M
- 24 C. Eriksen · M
- 21 J. Maehle · M
- 17 D. Pejcinovic · F
- 11 A. Daghim · F
Bench
P. Pervan · M. Jenz · J. Lindstrom · L. Majer · K. Paredes · J. Adjetey · M. Amoura · A. Zehnter · K. Shiogai
SC Paderborn 07
3-4-2-1Coach: Ralf Kettemann
Starting XI
- 41 D. Seimen · G
- 22 M. Hansen · D
- 25 T. Scheller · D
- 04 C. Brackelmann · D
- 17 L. Curda · M
- 07 F. Bilbija · M
- 05 S. Castaneda · M
- 03 J. Sticker · M
- 02 R. Muller · F
- 26 S. Klaas · F
- 30 S. Marino · F
Bench
M. Schubert · S. Michel · D. Kinsombi · S. Tigges · M. Hoffmeier · F. Gotze · N. Batzner · N. Mohr · K. Okpala
Tactical analysis
Wolfsburg is expected to dominate possession (projected >55%) given the stakes. Paderborn will likely sit in a mid-block, relying on the counter-attack that yielded 2 goals against Schalke. Expect a low-scoring first half ([score withheld] or [score withheld]) as Wolfsburg's depleted attack finds its rhythm. The goal timing window is projected between [score withheld] minutes when Paderborn's defensive fatigue typically manifests.
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1-4-2Goals / game
0.83
Conceded / game
0.83
SC Paderborn 07
3-4-2-1Goals / game
1.50
Conceded / game
1.83
Key stats
VfL Wolfsburg
Stat
SC Paderborn 07
- —Played—
- —Wins—
- —Draws—
- —Losses—
- —Goals for—
- —Goals against—
- —Avg goals for—
- —Avg goals against—
- —Clean sheets—
- —Failed to score—
- 50%BTTS (last 6)67%
- 33%Over 2.5 (last 6)67%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 25 May 2026SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg· Bundesliga2–1
- 21 May 2026VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07· Bundesliga0–0
- 4 Jan 2022VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07· Friendlies Clubs5–4
- 2 Feb 2020SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg· Bundesliga2–4
- 31 Aug 2019VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07· Bundesliga1–1
- 10 May 2015SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg· Bundesliga1–3
VfL Wolfsburg — last 6
- LA · SC Paderborn 0725 May 20261–2
- DH · SC Paderborn 0721 May 20260–0
- WA · FC St. Pauli16 May 20263–1
- LH · Bayern München9 May 20260–1
- DA · SC Freiburg3 May 20261–1
- DH · Borussia Mönchengladbach25 Apr 20260–0
SC Paderborn 07 — last 6
- WH · VfL Wolfsburg25 May 20262–1
- DA · VfL Wolfsburg21 May 20260–0
- WA · SV Darmstadt 9817 May 20262–0
- DH · Karlsruher SC8 May 20262–2
- LA · SV Elversberg3 May 20261–5
- LH · FC Schalke 0426 Apr 20262–3
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 62%Draw 23%Away 14%
Best market
Market Lean: VfL Wolfsburg
Expected match script
Wolfsburg is expected to dominate possession (projected >55%) given the stakes. Paderborn will likely sit in a mid-block, relying on the counter-attack that yi…
Betting angles
Market Lean: VfL Wolfsburg
PrimaryModel's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 50%
GoalsVfL Wolfsburg 33% · SC Paderborn 07 67% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 59%
Both teamsVfL Wolfsburg 50% · SC Paderborn 07 67% in their last 6.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Low risk- Model confidence: 70% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.