Serie A · AI Match Analysis

Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama crest
VS
Regular Season - 17
RB Bragantino crest
RB Bragantino

Vasco DA Gama vs RB BragantinoAI Prediction & Match Report

Sun 24 May 2026, 23:30 UTC Serie A Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro F. Mendes Confidence 66%
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Match overview

Vasco DA Gama win
38%
Draw
30%
RB Bragantino win
33%

Market analysis of Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino reveals a significant motivation gap, with the 5th-placed visitors chasing continental qualification while 16th-placed Vasco struggles with a 2.4 GA defensive average. Despite Vasco's 55% home win rate, RB Bragantino's recent [score withheld] H2H victory suggests the away side is undervalued at 3.75.

Team news & motivation

Vasco DA Gama
Home
LWLLL
#17 · 20 pts · 18 P · GD -7

Relegation pressure — three points needed to ease the table fight.

RB Bragantino
Away
WWWDW
#5 · 29 pts · 18 P · GD +6

Mid-table position — playing for momentum and bonus targets rather than survival or Europe.

Injuries & suspensions

Vasco DA Gama
  • C. Cuesta Red Card
  • Jair Knee Injury
  • Mateus Carvalho Knee Injury
  • Paulo Henrique Ankle Injury
  • C. Cuesta Red Card
  • Jair Knee Injury
  • Mateus Carvalho Knee Injury
  • Paulo Henrique Ankle Injury
RB Bragantino
  • Davi Gomes Knee Injury
  • Eduardo Santos Hamstring Injury
  • Fabinho Groin Injury
  • Fabricio Ankle Injury
  • Matheus Fernandes Hamstring Injury
  • Pedro Henrique Yellow Cards
  • G. Rodriguez Knee Injury
  • R. Tavares Inactive
  • Davi Gomes Knee Injury
  • Eduardo Santos Hamstring Injury
  • Fabinho Groin Injury
  • Fabricio Ankle Injury
  • Matheus Fernandes Hamstring Injury
  • Pedro Henrique Yellow Cards
  • G. Rodriguez Knee Injury
  • R. Tavares Inactive

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

Expect RB Bragantino to control the middle third, utilizing their [score withheld]-[score withheld] to exploit Vasco's recent defensive lapses. Vasco may start with high intensity to leverage the home crowd, but their tendency to concede early (as seen in recent 0-3 and [score withheld] losses) could force them into a desperate chasing position. A goal in the [score withheld] minute window for the visitors is statistically supported by Vasco's high GA.

Vasco DA Gama
Shape TBD
Goals / game
1.17
Conceded / game
2.17
RB Bragantino
Shape TBD
Goals / game
2.00
Conceded / game
0.67

Key stats

Vasco DA Gama
Stat
RB Bragantino
  • Played
    18
  • Wins
    9
  • Draws
    2
  • Losses
    7
  • Goals for
    25
  • Goals against
    19
  • Avg goals for
    1.40
  • Avg goals against
    1.10
  • Clean sheets
    6
  • Failed to score
    4
  • 50%
    BTTS (last 6)
    50%
  • 83%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    50%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 24 May 2026Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino· Serie A03
  • 26 Oct 2025RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama· Serie A03
  • 1 Jun 2025Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino· Serie A02
  • 3 Aug 2024Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino· Serie A22
  • 17 Apr 2024RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama· Serie A21
  • 7 Dec 2023Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino· Serie A21
Vasco DA Gama — last 6
  • LH · Atletico-MG31 May 202601
  • WH · Barracas Central27 May 202630
  • LH · RB Bragantino24 May 202603
  • LA · Olimpia20 May 202613
  • LA · Internacional16 May 202614
  • DH · Paysandu13 May 202622
RB Bragantino — last 6
  • WH · Internacional31 May 202631
  • WH · Carabobo FC28 May 202620
  • WA · Vasco DA Gama24 May 202630
  • DA · River Plate21 May 202611
  • WH · Vitoria17 May 202620
  • LA · Mirassol13 May 202612

Standings context

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras181251+1741
2Flamengo171043+1534
3Fluminense18945+531
4Atletico Paranaense18936+630
5RB Bragantino18927+629
6Bahia17755+226
7Coritiba18756026
8Sao Paulo18747+325
9Atletico-MG18738-124
10Corinthians18666-124
11Cruzeiro18666-424
12Botafogo17647022
13Vitoria17647-422
14Internacional18567-121
15Santos18567-321
16Gremio18567-321
17Vasco DA Gama18558-720
18Remo18468-818
19Mirassol17449-616
20Chapecoense-sc171610-169

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 38%Draw 30%Away 33%
Best market
Market Lean: RB Bragantino
Expected match script
Expect RB Bragantino to control the middle third, utilizing their [score withheld]-[score withheld] to exploit Vasco's recent defensive lapses. Vasco may start…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw
Vasco DA Gama 45% · Draw 45% · RB Bragantino 10%

Betting angles

Market Lean: RB Bragantino
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 67%
Goals
Vasco DA Gama 83% · RB Bragantino 50% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 50%
Both teams
Vasco DA Gama 50% · RB Bragantino 50% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk
  • Model confidence: 66% · Data quality: high
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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