World Cup · World Cup analytics

Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan crest
VS
Group Stage - 1
Colombia crest
Colombia

Uzbekistan vs ColombiaAI Prediction & Match Report

Thu 18 Jun 2026, 02:00 UTC World Cup Estadio Azteca, Mexico City Anthony Taylor, England Confidence 60%
49 Watching

Match overview

Uzbekistan win
12%
Draw
20%
Colombia win
68%

Colombia enters as the heavy favorite (1.38) based on a 3W-0D-2L form and a 2.0 goals-per-match average. Uzbekistan (2W-1D-2L) has shown resilience at home but faces a significant step up in class in this World Cup fixture at Estadio Azteca.

Team news & motivation

Uzbekistan
Home
LLLDW
#4 · 0 pts · 1 P · GD -2

Below the qualification line — needs a result to stay alive in the tournament.

Colombia
Away
WWWLL
#1 · 3 pts · 1 P · GD +2

Inside the qualification spots — a draw protects progression, a win seals top of group.

Injuries & suspensions

Uzbekistan
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Colombia
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

Uzbekistan
3-4-2-1
Coach: Fabio Cannavaro
Starting XI
  • 01 U. Yusupov · G
  • 02 A. Khusanov · D
  • 18 A. Abdullaev · D
  • 05 R. Ashurmatov · D
  • 24 B. Karimov · M
  • 06 A. Mozgovoy · M
  • 07 O. Shukurov · M
  • 13 S. Nasrullaev · M
  • 22 A. Fayzullaev · F
  • 11 O. Urunov · F
  • 14 E. Shomurodov · F
Bench
B. Ergashev · A. Nematov · I. Sergeev · J. Iskanderov · D. Khamdamov · K. Alizhonov · A. Ulmasaliev · O. Khamrobekov · A. Ganiev · U. Eshmurodov · A. Amonov · R. Jiyanov · J. Urozov · S. Esanov · F. Sayfiev
Colombia
4-3-3
Coach: Nestor Lorenzo
Starting XI
  • 12 C. Vargas · G
  • 02 D. Munoz · D
  • 23 D. Sanchez · D
  • 03 J. Lucumi · D
  • 17 J. Mojica · D
  • 14 G. Puerta · M
  • 16 J. Lerma · M
  • 11 J. Arias · M
  • 10 J. Rodriguez · F
  • 25 L. Suarez · F
  • 07 L. Diaz · F
Bench
D. Ospina · A. Montero · J. Cordoba · Y. Mina · D. Machado · C. Hernandez · J. Portilla · S. Arias · J. Quintero · J. Carrascal · J. Campaz · W. Ditta · R. Rios · K. Castano · A. Gomez

Tactical analysis

Colombia is expected to dominate possession (projected 60%+) and establish a high defensive line. Uzbekistan will likely sit in a compact [score withheld]-1 block, looking to transition through long balls. Expect a cagey first 30 minutes with Colombia testing the perimeter. Goal timing is projected for the late first half or mid-second half as fatigue sets in due to the Mexico City altitude. If the match is [score withheld] at 60', the 'Over 0.5' live market becomes the primary trigger.

Uzbekistan
3-4-2-1
Goals / game
1.50
Conceded / game
1.67
Colombia
4-3-3
Goals / game
2.17
Conceded / game
1.17

Key stats

Uzbekistan
Stat
Colombia
  • Played
  • Wins
  • Draws
  • Losses
  • Goals for
  • Goals against
  • Avg goals for
  • Avg goals against
  • Clean sheets
  • Failed to score
  • 67%
    BTTS (last 6)
    67%
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    83%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 18 Jun 2026Uzbekistan vs Colombia· World Cup13
Uzbekistan — last 6
  • LH · Colombia18 Jun 202613
  • LA · Netherlands8 Jun 202612
  • LA · Canada2 Jun 202602
  • DH · Venezuela30 Mar 202600
  • WH · Gabon27 Mar 202631
  • WH · FC Urartu30 Jan 202642
Colombia — last 6
  • WA · Uzbekistan18 Jun 202631
  • WH · Jordan7 Jun 202620
  • WH · Costa Rica1 Jun 202631
  • LH · France29 Mar 202613
  • LH · Croatia26 Mar 202612
  • WH · Australia19 Nov 202530

Group standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia1100+23
2Congo DR101001
3Portugal101001
4Uzbekistan1001-20

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 12%Draw 20%Away 68%
Best market
Market Lean: Colombia
Expected match script
Colombia is expected to dominate possession (projected 60%+) and establish a high defensive line. Uzbekistan will likely sit in a compact [score withheld]-1 bl…

Betting angles

Market Lean: Colombia
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 75%
Goals
Uzbekistan 67% · Colombia 83% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 67%
Both teams
Uzbekistan 67% · Colombia 67% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk
  • Model confidence: 60% · Data quality: high
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

Keep exploring