World Cup · World Cup analytics

Uruguay
Uruguay crest
VS
Group Stage - 3
Spain crest
Spain

Uruguay vs SpainAI Prediction & Match Report

Sat 27 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC World Cup Estadio Akron, Zapopan I. Elfath Confidence 72%
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Match overview

Uruguay win
14%
Draw
22%
Spain win
64%

Spain (1st, 4pts) faces Uruguay (2nd, 2pts) in a high-pressure World Cup fixture. Spain's superior defensive record (0.4 GA) and unbeaten form (2W-3D-0L) contrast with Uruguay's winless streak (0W-4D-1L) and defensive absences.

Team news & motivation

Uruguay
Home
DDDDL
#2 · 2 pts · 2 P · GD 0

Inside the qualification spots — a draw protects progression, a win seals top of group.

Spain
Away
Recent form unavailable.
#1 · 4 pts · 2 P · GD +4

Inside the qualification spots — a draw protects progression, a win seals top of group.

Injuries & suspensions

Uruguay
  • G. de Arrascaeta Muscle Bruise
  • R. Araújo Muscle Bruise
Spain
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

Spain is expected to establish early territorial dominance, utilizing high possession to tire a depleted Uruguayan defense. Uruguay will likely sit deep, looking for [score withheld] or [score withheld] patterns seen in their recent form. A breakthrough is most likely in the [score withheld] minute window as Uruguay's defensive discipline wanes. If Spain scores first, Uruguay's need to chase the game will likely expose them to a second goal given their 1.8 GA average.

Uruguay
Shape TBD
Goals / game
0.83
Conceded / game
1.50
Spain
Shape TBD
Goals / game
Conceded / game

Key stats

Uruguay
Stat
Spain
  • Played
    2
  • Wins
    1
  • Draws
    1
  • Losses
    0
  • Goals for
    4
  • Goals against
    0
  • Avg goals for
    2.00
  • Avg goals against
    0.00
  • Clean sheets
    2
  • Failed to score
    1
  • 67%
    BTTS (last 6)
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 16 Jun 2013Spain vs Uruguay· Confederations Cup21
Uruguay — last 6
  • DH · Cape Verde Islands21 Jun 202622
  • DA · Saudi Arabia15 Jun 202611
  • DA · Algeria31 Mar 202600
  • DA · England27 Mar 202611
  • LA · USA19 Nov 202515
  • DA · Mexico16 Nov 202500
Spain — last 0

    Group standings

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Spain2110+44
    2Uruguay202002
    3Cape Verde Islands202002
    4Saudi Arabia2011-41

    Prediction model

    OddysAI model output
    Home 14%Draw 22%Away 64%
    Best market
    Market Lean: Spain
    Expected match script
    Spain is expected to establish early territorial dominance, utilizing high possession to tire a depleted Uruguayan defense. Uruguay will likely sit deep, looki…

    Betting angles

    Market Lean: Spain
    Primary
    Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.

    Risk warning

    Responsible-betting disclaimer
    Low risk
    • Model confidence: 72% · Data quality: high
    • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
    • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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