World Cup · World Cup analytics

Uruguay
Uruguay crest
VS
Group Stage - 2
Cape Verde Islands crest
Cape Verde Islands

Uruguay vs Cape Verde IslandsAI Prediction & Match Report

Sun 21 Jun 2026, 22:00 UTC World Cup Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens Espen Eskas, Norway Confidence 58%
22 Watching

Match overview

Uruguay win
43%
Draw
35%
Cape Verde Islands win
22%

Uruguay enters as a heavy 1.47 favorite despite a winless 5-match run (0W-4D-1L) and a low 0.6 GFA. Cape Verde Islands (2W-2D-1L) offer significant value on the handicap, having recently held Spain to a [score withheld] draw.

Team news & motivation

Uruguay
Home
DDDDL
#2 · 2 pts · 2 P · GD 0

Inside the qualification spots — a draw protects progression, a win seals top of group.

Cape Verde Islands
Away
DDWWD
#3 · 2 pts · 2 P · GD 0

Sitting in the play-off / best-third lane — must-win territory to leapfrog into top two.

Injuries & suspensions

Uruguay
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Cape Verde Islands
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

Uruguay
4-1-4-1
Coach: Marcelo Bielsa
Starting XI
  • 23 Fernando Muslera · G
  • 13 Guillermo Varela · D
  • 03 Sebastián Cáceres · D
  • 16 Mathías Olivera · D
  • 25 Juan Sanabria · D
  • 05 Manuel Ugarte · M
  • 14 Agustín Canobbio · M
  • 06 Rodrigo Bentancur · M
  • 08 Federico Valverde · M
  • 20 Maximiliano Araújo · M
  • 21 Federico Viñas · F
Bench
Nicolás de la Cruz · Darwin Núñez · Brian Rodríguez · Santiago Mele · Sergio Rochet · José María Giménez · Matías Viña · Santiago Bueno · Joaquín Piquerez · Facundo Pellistri · Emiliano Martínez · Rodrigo Zalazar · Rodrigo Aguirre
Cape Verde Islands
4-1-4-1
Coach: Pedro Leitao Brito
Starting XI
  • 01 Vozinha · G
  • 22 Steven Moreira · D
  • 04 Pico · D
  • 03 Diney Borges · D
  • 13 Sidny Lopes Cabral · D
  • 06 Kevin Lenini · M
  • 20 Ryan Mendes · M
  • 18 Telmo Arcanjo · M
  • 10 Jamiro Monteiro · M
  • 11 Garry Rodrigues · M
  • 09 Gilson Tavares · F
Bench
Deroy Duarte · Hélio Varela · Nuno Da Costa · Laros Duarte · Yannick Semedo · Márcio Rosa · CJ Dos Santos · Stopira · Logan Costa · Wagner Pina · Kelvin Pires · João Paulo · Willy Semedo · Jovane Cabral · Dailon Rocha Livramento

Tactical analysis

Uruguay is expected to control [score withheld]% of possession but will likely struggle with slow build-up play. Cape Verde will likely sit in a [score withheld]-[score withheld] or [score withheld]-1 block, looking for 60th-minute transition opportunities. If the match remains [score withheld] at halftime (a high-probability scenario given Uruguay's form), the pressure on the favorite will increase, potentially opening gaps for Cape Verde. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the second half.

Uruguay
4-1-4-1
Goals / game
0.83
Conceded / game
1.50
Cape Verde Islands
4-1-4-1
Goals / game
1.83
Conceded / game
1.17

Key stats

Uruguay
Stat
Cape Verde Islands
  • Played
  • Wins
  • Draws
  • Losses
  • Goals for
  • Goals against
  • Avg goals for
  • Avg goals against
  • Clean sheets
  • Failed to score
  • 67%
    BTTS (last 6)
    50%
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    67%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 21 Jun 2026Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands· World Cup22
Uruguay — last 6
  • DH · Cape Verde Islands21 Jun 202622
  • DA · Saudi Arabia15 Jun 202611
  • DA · Algeria31 Mar 202600
  • DA · England27 Mar 202611
  • LA · USA19 Nov 202515
  • DA · Mexico16 Nov 202500
Cape Verde Islands — last 6
  • DA · Uruguay21 Jun 202622
  • DA · Spain15 Jun 202600
  • WH · Bermuda6 Jun 202630
  • WH · Serbia31 May 202630
  • DH · Finland30 Mar 202611
  • LA · Chile27 Mar 202624

Group standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain2110+44
2Uruguay202002
3Cape Verde Islands202002
4Saudi Arabia2011-41

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 43%Draw 35%Away 22%
Best market
Market Lean: Cape Verde Islands
Expected match script
Uruguay is expected to control [score withheld]% of possession but will likely struggle with slow build-up play. Cape Verde will likely sit in a [score withhel…

Betting angles

Market Lean: Cape Verde Islands
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 50%
Goals
Uruguay 33% · Cape Verde Islands 67% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 59%
Both teams
Uruguay 67% · Cape Verde Islands 50% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk
  • Model confidence: 58% · Data quality: high
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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