World Cup · World Cup analytics

Türkiye
Türkiye crest
VS
Group Stage - 3
USA crest
USA

Türkiye vs USAAI Prediction & Match Report

Fri 26 Jun 2026, 02:00 UTC World Cup SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles M. Ghorbal Confidence 68%
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Match overview

Türkiye win
18%
Draw
24%
USA win
58%

USA enters as the form favorite ([record withheld]) against a struggling Türkiye ([record withheld]) in a World Cup fixture held in Los Angeles. Despite a 2025 H2H loss, the current tournament trajectory heavily favors the USA.

Team news & motivation

Türkiye
Home
LLWWW
#4 · 0 pts · 2 P · GD -3

Below the qualification line — needs a result to stay alive in the tournament.

USA
Away
WWLWL
#1 · 6 pts · 2 P · GD +5

Inside the qualification spots — a draw protects progression, a win seals top of group.

Injuries & suspensions

Türkiye
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
USA
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

USA is expected to dominate possession (projected 55%+) and utilize high-pressing triggers. Türkiye will likely sit in a mid-block to stabilize after two losses. Expect a cagey first 30 minutes, with the USA's superior fitness and depth likely breaking the deadlock in the [score withheld] minute window.

Türkiye
Shape TBD
Goals / game
1.33
Conceded / game
0.67
USA
Shape TBD
Goals / game
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00

Key stats

Türkiye
Stat
USA
  • Played
  • Wins
  • Draws
  • Losses
  • Goals for
  • Goals against
  • Avg goals for
  • Avg goals against
  • Clean sheets
  • Failed to score
  • 17%
    BTTS (last 6)
    67%
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    67%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 7 Jun 2025USA vs Türkiye· Friendlies12
Türkiye — last 6
  • LH · Paraguay20 Jun 202601
  • LA · Australia14 Jun 202602
  • WA · Venezuela6 Jun 202621
  • WH · FYR Macedonia1 Jun 202640
  • WA · Kosovo31 Mar 202610
  • WH · Romania26 Mar 202610
USA — last 6
  • WH · Australia19 Jun 202620
  • WH · Paraguay13 Jun 202641
  • LH · Germany6 Jun 202612
  • WH · Senegal31 May 202632
  • LH · Portugal31 Mar 202602
  • LH · Belgium28 Mar 202625

Group standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1USA2200+56
2Australia210103
3Paraguay2101-23
4Türkiye2002-30

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 18%Draw 24%Away 58%
Best market
Market Lean: USA
Expected match script
USA is expected to dominate possession (projected 55%+) and utilize high-pressing triggers. Türkiye will likely sit in a mid-block to stabilize after two losse…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Winner : USA
Türkiye 10% · Draw 45% · USA 45%

Betting angles

Market Lean: USA
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 50%
Goals
Türkiye 33% · USA 67% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 42%
Both teams
Türkiye 17% · USA 67% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk
  • Model confidence: 68% · Data quality: high
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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