2. Bundesliga · AI Match Analysis
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VS
Final
Rot-Weiß Essen
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß EssenAI Prediction & Match Report
Tue 26 May 2026, 18:30 UTC 2. Bundesliga Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth R. Schroder Confidence 66%
Open full AI analysis Medium risk
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Match overview
SpVgg Greuther Fürth win
63%
Draw
24%
Rot-Weiß Essen win
12%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Rank 16) faces Rot-Weiß Essen in a high-stakes relegation second leg. Despite a 1-0 loss in the first leg on May 22, Fürth is priced as a 1.75 favorite, driven by a 'must-win' motivation profile and home advantage.
Team news & motivation
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HomeLWLWL
#16 · 37 pts · 34 P · GD -19
Relegation pressure — three points needed to ease the table fight.
Rot-Weiß Essen
AwayWLWWW
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Injuries & suspensions
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Rot-Weiß Essen
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Probable lineups
Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.
Tactical analysis
SpVgg Greuther Fürth is expected to initiate a high-intensity press from the kickoff to negate the 1-0 aggregate deficit. Rot-Weiß Essen will likely adopt a mid-to-low block, looking to exploit the 1.2 GA average of the hosts on the counter. Expect a high-tension first half with limited goals, with the game state becoming more volatile after the 60th minute if the aggregate remains in Essen's favor.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Shape TBDGoals / game
1.17
Conceded / game
0.83
Rot-Weiß Essen
Shape TBDGoals / game
2.83
Conceded / game
1.67
Key stats
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Stat
Rot-Weiß Essen
- 36Played—
- 11Wins—
- 7Draws—
- 18Losses—
- 51Goals for—
- 69Goals against—
- 1.40Avg goals for—
- 1.90Avg goals against—
- 6Clean sheets—
- 11Failed to score—
- 33%BTTS (last 6)33%
- 33%Over 2.5 (last 6)50%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 26 May 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen· 2. Bundesliga2–0
- 22 May 2026Rot-Weiß Essen vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth· 2. Bundesliga1–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — last 6
- LA · Bayreuth5 Jul 20260–1
- WH · Rot-Weiß Essen26 May 20262–0
- LA · Rot-Weiß Essen22 May 20260–1
- WH · Fortuna Düsseldorf17 May 20263–0
- LA · Hertha BSC10 May 20261–2
- DH · 1. FC Nürnberg3 May 20261–1
Rot-Weiß Essen — last 6
- WA · Bottrop4 Jul 202611–0
- LA · SpVgg Greuther Fürth26 May 20260–2
- WH · SpVgg Greuther Fürth22 May 20261–0
- WA · SSV Ulm 184616 May 20263–2
- WH · Verl9 May 20261–0
- LA · Stuttgart II2 May 20261–6
Standings context
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | +19 | 70 |
| 2 | SV Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +25 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +14 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +16 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | +12 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | +5 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +3 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | +1 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | -18 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | -19 | 37 |
| 17 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | -20 | 37 |
| 18 | Preußen Münster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -23 | 30 |
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 63%Draw 24%Away 12%
Best market
Market Lean: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Expected match script
SpVgg Greuther Fürth is expected to initiate a high-intensity press from the kickoff to negate the 1-0 aggregate deficit. Rot-Weiß Essen will likely adopt a mi…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Combo Double chance : draw or Rot-Weiß Essen and -3.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 10% · Draw 45% · Rot-Weiß Essen 45%
Betting angles
Market Lean: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
PrimaryModel's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 42%
GoalsSpVgg Greuther Fürth 33% · Rot-Weiß Essen 50% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 33%
Both teamsSpVgg Greuther Fürth 33% · Rot-Weiß Essen 33% in their last 6.
Goals line read: -3.5
Cross-checkCross-check signal from third-party provider's predictions endpoint.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk- Model confidence: 66% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.