First League · AI Match Analysis
Septemvri Sofia
VS
Relegation Group - 35
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak VarnaAI Prediction & Match Report
Thu 14 May 2026, 12:15 UTC First League Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia M. Grebencharski Confidence 52%
Open full AI analysis Medium risk
Match overview
Septemvri Sofia win
35%
Draw
41%
Spartak Varna win
24%
A bottom-table clash in the First League sees 14th-placed Septemvri Sofia host 12th-placed Spartak Varna. Data highlights a strong draw tendency for the visitors (50% away draw rate) and a recently low-scoring H2H profile (0-0 in April 2026).
Team news & motivation
Septemvri Sofia
HomeLWWWD
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Spartak Varna
AwayLDWWL
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Injuries & suspensions
Septemvri Sofia
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Spartak Varna
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Probable lineups
Septemvri Sofia
4-5-1Coach: Hristo Arangelov
Starting XI
- 21 Y. Georgiev · G
- 23 R. Schouten · D
- 04 M. Hristov · D
- 26 V. Ozornwafor · D
- 30 M. Stamatov · D
- 33 G. Ivanov · M
- 18 A. Abou · M
- 05 Y. Baurenski · M
- 28 S. Stoichkov · M
- 17 N. Fontaine · M
- 09 B. Fourrier · F
Bench
N. Krastev · B. Tomovski · D. Ivkic · S. Wade · G. Varbanov · K. Kolev · S. Stojanovic · F. Herard · E. Ribeiro
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Gjoko Hadzievski
Starting XI
- 01 P. Ribeiro · G
- 20 D. Lozev · D
- 44 A. Granchov · D
- 05 D. Krastev · D
- 02 B. Ivanov · D
- 88 D. Yordanov · M
- 06 E. John · M
- 10 Jota Lopes · M
- 29 Tailson · M
- 21 Xande
- 09 T. Chunchukov · F
Bench
M. Kovalyov · M. Juric-Petrasilo · P. Prindzhev · D. Ivanov · S. Moukachar · K. Kurbanov · M. Georgiev
Tactical analysis
Expect a low-tempo game dominated by midfield attrition. Septemvri Sofia ([score withheld]-1) and Spartak Varna (4-2-[score withheld]) both deploy heavy midfield structures. Goals are most likely to occur via set-piece or individual error, with Spartak Varna likely to play for the point given their 8 draws in 16 away matches.
Septemvri Sofia
4-5-1Goals / game
1.83
Conceded / game
0.83
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Goals / game
1.17
Conceded / game
0.50
Key stats
Septemvri Sofia
Stat
Spartak Varna
- 38Played—
- 10Wins—
- 9Draws—
- 19Losses—
- 34Goals for—
- 65Goals against—
- 0.90Avg goals for—
- 1.70Avg goals against—
- 9Clean sheets—
- 13Failed to score—
- 50%BTTS (last 6)17%
- 50%Over 2.5 (last 6)33%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 14 May 2026Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna· First League1–0
- 16 Apr 2026Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna· First League0–0
- 7 Nov 2025Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia· First League1–4
- 16 Mar 2025Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia· First League4–2
- 30 Sep 2024Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna· First League0–1
- 5 Apr 2024Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna· Second League0–2
Septemvri Sofia — last 6
- LH · Slavia Sofia4 Jul 20262–3
- WH · Vihren1 Jul 20262–0
- WH · Marek27 Jun 20263–0
- WH · Yantra 201928 May 20262–1
- DH · Dobrudzha22 May 20261–1
- WA · Beroe18 May 20261–0
Spartak Varna — last 6
- LA · Botev Plovdiv4 Jul 20260–1
- DH · Dunav Ruse27 Jun 20260–0
- WH · Lokomotiv Sofia22 May 20263–0
- WA · Montana18 May 20262–0
- LA · Septemvri Sofia14 May 20260–1
- WH · Slavia Sofia10 May 20262–1
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 35%Draw 41%Away 24%
Best market
Draw
Expected match script
Expect a low-tempo game dominated by midfield attrition. Septemvri Sofia ([score withheld]-1) and Spartak Varna (4-2-[score withheld]) both deploy heavy midfie…
Betting angles
Draw
PrimaryModel's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 42%
GoalsSeptemvri Sofia 50% · Spartak Varna 33% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 34%
Both teamsSeptemvri Sofia 50% · Spartak Varna 17% in their last 6.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk- Model confidence: 52% · Data quality: medium
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.