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World Cup · World Cup analytics

Senegal
Senegal crest
VS
Group Stage - 3
Iraq crest
Iraq

Senegal vs IraqAI Prediction & Match Report

Fri 26 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC World Cup BMO Field, Toronto A. Taylor Confidence 58%
Open full AI analysis Medium risk
49 Watching

Match overview

Senegal win
54%
Draw
28%
Iraq win
18%

Senegal and Iraq meet with identical 1W-1D-3L recent form and 0 points in the standings. Senegal's 1.6 GFA offers a statistical edge over Iraq's 0.6 GFA, though both sides concede 2.0 goals per game on average.

Team news & motivation

Senegal
Home
LLDLW
#3 · 0 pts · 2 P · GD -3

Sitting in the play-off / best-third lane — must-win territory to leapfrog into top two.

Iraq
Away
LLLDW
#4 · 0 pts · 2 P · GD -6

Below the qualification line — needs a result to stay alive in the tournament.

Injuries & suspensions

Senegal
  • É. Mendy — Twisted Knee
Iraq
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

Senegal is expected to control [score withheld]% of possession, utilizing their 1.6 GFA profile to test Iraq's low block early. Iraq will likely sit deep, aiming for a repeat of their [score withheld] Spain result. A goal for Senegal before the 30th minute would likely force Iraq to open up, potentially leading to a high-scoring second half given both teams' 2.0 GA averages.

Senegal
Shape TBD
Goals / game
1.67
Conceded / game
1.67
Iraq
Shape TBD
Goals / game
0.83
Conceded / game
1.83

Key stats

Senegal
Stat
Iraq
  • —
    Played
    —
  • —
    Wins
    —
  • —
    Draws
    —
  • —
    Losses
    —
  • —
    Goals for
    —
  • —
    Goals against
    —
  • —
    Avg goals for
    —
  • —
    Avg goals against
    —
  • —
    Clean sheets
    —
  • —
    Failed to score
    —
  • 67%
    BTTS (last 6)
    50%
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    50%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

No verified historical meetings between Senegal and Iraq.
Senegal — last 6
  • LA · Norway23 Jun 20262–3
  • LA · France16 Jun 20261–3
  • DA · Saudi Arabia9 Jun 20260–0
  • LA · USA31 May 20262–3
  • WH · Gambia31 Mar 20263–1
  • WH · Peru28 Mar 20262–0
Iraq — last 6
  • LA · France22 Jun 20260–3
  • LH · Norway16 Jun 20261–4
  • LH · Venezuela10 Jun 20260–2
  • DA · Spain4 Jun 20261–1
  • WH · Andorra29 May 20261–0
  • WH · Bolivia1 Apr 20262–1

Group standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France2200+56
2Norway2200+46
3Senegal2002-30
4Iraq2002-60

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 54%Draw 28%Away 18%
Best market
Market Lean: Senegal
Expected match script
Senegal is expected to control [score withheld]% of possession, utilizing their 1.6 GFA profile to test Iraq's low block early. Iraq will likely sit deep, aimi…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Combo Double chance : Senegal or draw and +1.5 goals
Senegal 45% · Draw 45% · Iraq 10%

Betting angles

Market Lean: Senegal
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 59%
Goals
Senegal 67% · Iraq 50% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 59%
Both teams
Senegal 67% · Iraq 50% in their last 6.
Goals line read: +1.5
Cross-check
Cross-check signal from third-party provider's predictions endpoint.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk
  • Model confidence: 58% · Data quality: medium
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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