La Liga · AI Match Analysis
Oviedo vs AlavesAI Prediction & Match Report
Match overview
Oviedo hosts Alaves in a high-stakes relegation battle for the home side (Rank 20), while the visitors (Rank 16) are mathematically safe. Despite Oviedo's poor form (0W-2D-3L), the motivation asymmetry and Alaves' poor away record (11 losses) suggest a closer contest than the 1.98 away price implies.
Team news & motivation
Relegation pressure — three points needed to ease the table fight.
Mid-table position — playing for momentum and bonus targets rather than survival or Europe.
Injuries & suspensions
Probable lineups
- 01 H. Moldovan · G
- 24 L. Ahijado · D
- 04 D. Costas · D
- 12 D. Calvo · D
- 25 J. Lopez · D
- 23 N. Fonseca · M
- 11 S. Colombatto · M
- 10 H. Hassan · M
- 08 S. Cazorla · M
- 05 A. Reina · M
- 09 F. Vinas · F
- 01 A. Sivera · G
- 14 N. Tenaglia · D
- 16 V. Koski · D
- 24 V. Parada · D
- 07 A. Perez · M
- 18 J. Guridi · M
- 08 A. Blanco · M
- 04 D. Suarez · M
- 21 A. Rebbach · M
- 22 I. Diabate · F
- 11 T. Martinez · F
Tactical analysis
Expect a cagey opening 30 minutes with Oviedo playing a high-intensity but cautious mid-block. Alaves will likely dominate possession (55%+) but may lack the final-third urgency. Goal timing is projected late; if 0-0 at 60', Oviedo will be forced to overextend, creating counter-attack opportunities for Alaves. A 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline is the primary statistical cluster.
Key stats
- —Played—
- —Wins—
- —Draws—
- —Losses—
- —Goals for—
- —Goals against—
- —Avg goals for—
- —Avg goals against—
- —Clean sheets—
- —Failed to score—
- —BTTS (last 6)—
- —Over 2.5 (last 6)—
Head-to-head & recent form
Standings context
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -14 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 | 29 |
Prediction model
Betting angles
Risk warning
- Model confidence: 60% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.