Premier League · AI Match Analysis

Newcastle
Newcastle crest
VS
Regular Season - 37
West Ham crest
West Ham

Newcastle vs West HamAI Prediction & Match Report

Sun 17 May 2026, 16:30 UTC Premier League St. James' Park, Newcastle J. Gillett Confidence 58%
13 Watching

Match overview

Newcastle win
37%
Draw
26%
West Ham win
37%

Newcastle hosts West Ham with a significantly depleted squad, missing key players like Isak and Botman. While Newcastle is the market favorite at 2.13, their recent 1W-1D-3L form and West Ham's superior defensive metrics (1.0 GA avg) suggest a potential pricing inefficiency favoring the visitors.

Team news & motivation

Newcastle
Home
Recent form unavailable.
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

West Ham
Away
WLLLW
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Injuries & suspensions

Newcastle
  • Joelinton Thigh Injury
  • E. Krafth Knee Injury
  • V. Livramento Thigh Injury
  • L. Miley Broken Leg
  • F. Schar Ankle Injury
  • Joelinton Thigh Injury
  • E. Krafth Knee Injury
  • V. Livramento Thigh Injury
  • L. Miley Broken Leg
  • F. Schar Ankle Injury
West Ham
  • L. Fabianski Back Injury
  • A. Traore Muscle Injury
  • L. Fabianski Back Injury
  • A. Traore Muscle Injury

Probable lineups

Newcastle
4-2-3-1
Coach: Eddie Howe
Starting XI
  • 01 N. Pope · G
  • 02 K. Trippier · D
  • 12 M. Thiaw · D
  • 04 S. Botman · D
  • 03 L. Hall · D
  • 39 Bruno Guimaraes · M
  • 08 S. Tonali · M
  • 11 H. Barnes · M
  • 27 N. Woltemade · M
  • 41 J. Ramsey · M
  • 18 W. Osula · F
Bench
A. Ramsdale · D. Burn · J. Willock · Y. Wissa · A. Gordon · J. Murphy · A. Elanga · A. Murphy · S. Neave
West Ham
3-4-2-1
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Starting XI
  • 01 M. Hermansen · G
  • 04 A. Disasi · D
  • 15 K. Mavropanos · D
  • 25 J. Todibo · D
  • 29 A. Wan-Bissaka · M
  • 28 T. Soucek · M
  • 18 M. Fernandes · M
  • 12 M. Diouf · M
  • 20 J. Bowen · F
  • 07 C. Summerville · F
  • 09 C. Wilson · F
Bench
A. Areola · K. Walker-Peters · S. Magassa · T. Castellanos · M. Kilman · F. Potts · Pablo · O. Scarles · M. Kante

Tactical analysis

Newcastle is expected to control 55%+ possession but struggle with final-third penetration without Isak. West Ham will likely sit in a mid-block, looking to trigger transitions between the 20th and 40th minutes. If West Ham scores first, Newcastle's lack of bench depth will make a comeback statistically unlikely. Expect a low-scoring first half followed by increased variance after the 60th minute.

Newcastle
4-2-3-1
Goals / game
Conceded / game
West Ham
3-4-2-1
Goals / game
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33

Key stats

Newcastle
Stat
West Ham
  • Played
  • Wins
  • Draws
  • Losses
  • Goals for
  • Goals against
  • Avg goals for
  • Avg goals against
  • Clean sheets
  • Failed to score
  • BTTS (last 6)
    33%
  • Over 2.5 (last 6)
    67%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 17 May 2026Newcastle vs West Ham· Premier League31
  • 2 Nov 2025West Ham vs Newcastle· Premier League31
  • 10 Mar 2025West Ham vs Newcastle· Premier League01
  • 25 Nov 2024Newcastle vs West Ham· Premier League02
  • 30 Mar 2024Newcastle vs West Ham· Premier League43
  • 8 Oct 2023West Ham vs Newcastle· Premier League22
Newcastle — last 0
    West Ham — last 6
    • WH · Leeds24 May 202630
    • LA · Newcastle17 May 202613
    • LH · Arsenal10 May 202601
    • LA · Brentford2 May 202603
    • WH · Everton25 Apr 202621
    • DA · Crystal Palace20 Apr 202600

    Prediction model

    OddysAI model output
    Home 37%Draw 26%Away 37%
    Best market
    Market Lean: West Ham
    Expected match script
    Newcastle is expected to control 55%+ possession but struggle with final-third penetration without Isak. West Ham will likely sit in a mid-block, looking to tr…

    Betting angles

    Market Lean: West Ham
    Primary
    Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.

    Risk warning

    Responsible-betting disclaimer
    Medium risk
    • Model confidence: 58% · Data quality: medium
    • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
    • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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