Major League Soccer · AI Match Analysis

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls crest
VS
Regular Season - 15
New York City FC crest
New York City FC

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FCAI Prediction & Match Report

Sat 16 May 2026, 23:30 UTC Major League Soccer Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison V. Rivas Confidence 68%
12 Watching

Match overview

New York Red Bulls win
28%
Draw
26%
New York City FC win
46%

A Hudson River Derby where NYCFC (Rank 5) visits New York Red Bulls (Rank 6). Both teams are level on 18 points, but NYCFC holds a significant tactical advantage having won the last three H2H meetings, including a [score withheld] away win in April 2026.

Team news & motivation

New York Red Bulls
Home
Recent form unavailable.
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

New York City FC
Away
LLDWW
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Injuries & suspensions

New York Red Bulls
  • E. M. Choupo-Moting Knee Injury
  • C. Harper Muscle Injury
  • A. Marcucci Knee Injury
  • E. M. Choupo-Moting Knee Injury
  • C. Harper Muscle Injury
  • A. Marcucci Knee Injury
New York City FC
  • D. Baiera Knee Injury
  • A. Martinez Knee Injury
  • A. O'Neill Ankle Injury
  • K. O'Toole Leg Injury
  • Talles Magno Injury
  • D. Baiera Knee Injury
  • A. Martinez Knee Injury
  • A. O'Neill Ankle Injury
  • K. O'Toole Leg Injury
  • Talles Magno Injury

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

Expect a high-tempo start from the Red Bulls, attempting to use home energy to mask defensive frailties. However, NYCFC is likely to settle into a mid-block, looking for transition moments. Goal timing is projected for the [score withheld] minute window as the Red Bulls' press typically drops in intensity. If NYCFC scores first, the Red Bulls' necessity to chase will likely open spaces for a second NYCFC goal, similar to the [score withheld] result in April.

New York Red Bulls
Shape TBD
Goals / game
Conceded / game
New York City FC
Shape TBD
Goals / game
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00

Key stats

New York Red Bulls
Stat
New York City FC
  • Played
  • Wins
  • Draws
  • Losses
  • Goals for
  • Goals against
  • Avg goals for
  • Avg goals against
  • Clean sheets
  • Failed to score
  • BTTS (last 6)
    33%
  • Over 2.5 (last 6)
    33%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 16 May 2026New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC· Major League Soccer11
  • 29 Apr 2026New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC· US Open Cup13
  • 27 Sep 2025New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC· Major League Soccer23
  • 17 May 2025New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls· Major League Soccer20
  • 23 Nov 2024New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls· Major League Soccer02
  • 28 Sep 2024New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC· Major League Soccer15
New York Red Bulls — last 0
    New York City FC — last 6
    • LA · Nashville SC24 May 202612
    • LA · Columbus Crew20 May 202601
    • DA · New York Red Bulls16 May 202611
    • WA · Charlotte13 May 202610
    • WH · Columbus Crew10 May 202630
    • LH · DC United3 May 202602

    Prediction model

    OddysAI model output
    Home 28%Draw 26%Away 46%
    Best market
    Market Lean: New York City FC
    Expected match script
    Expect a high-tempo start from the Red Bulls, attempting to use home energy to mask defensive frailties. However, NYCFC is likely to settle into a mid-block, l…
    Cross-check (third-party model)
    Double chance : draw or New York City FC
    New York Red Bulls 10% · Draw 45% · New York City FC 45%

    Betting angles

    Market Lean: New York City FC
    Primary
    Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.

    Risk warning

    Responsible-betting disclaimer
    Medium risk
    • Model confidence: 68% · Data quality: high
    • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
    • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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