Serie A · AI Match Analysis
Mirassol
VS
Regular Season - 17
Fluminense
Mirassol vs FluminenseAI Prediction & Match Report
Sat 23 May 2026, 22:00 UTC Serie A Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol S. Sampaio Confidence 68%
Open full AI analysis Medium risk
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Match overview
Mirassol win
29%
Draw
30%
Fluminense win
41%
A Serie A mismatch where 3rd-place Fluminense travels to 19th-place Mirassol. Despite the standings gap, the market offers a high 2.90 on the visitors, likely factoring in Mirassol's recent form and Fluminense's injury list.
Team news & motivation
Mirassol
HomeLLWWL
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Fluminense
AwayDWLWW
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Injuries & suspensions
Mirassol
- Igor Formiga — Muscle Injury
- Negueba — Knee Injury
- Igor Formiga — Muscle Injury
- Negueba — Knee Injury
Fluminense
- Alisson — Muscle Injury
- Ignacio — Broken Hand
- Martinelli — Hamstring Injury
- Matheus Reis — Knee Injury
- J. Savarino — Rest
- Alisson — Muscle Injury
- Ignacio — Broken Hand
- Martinelli — Hamstring Injury
- Matheus Reis — Knee Injury
- J. Savarino — Rest
Probable lineups
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Coach: Guanaes Rafael
Starting XI
- 22 Walter · G
- 20 Daniel Borges · D
- 34 Joao Victor · D
- 03 Willian Machado · D
- 06 Reinaldo · D
- 21 Jose Aldo · M
- 08 Denilson · M
- 96 Carlos Eduardo
- 07 Shaylon · M
- 77 Alesson · M
- 95 Edson Carioca · F
Bench
Alex Muralha · Eduardo · Yuri Lara · Igor Carius · Rodrigues · Everton Galdino · A. Galeano · Nathan Fogaca · Victor Luis · Tiquinho Soares · Chico Kim · Lucas Oliveira
Fluminense
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
Starting XI
- 01 Fabio · G
- 02 Samuel Xavier · D
- 03 Jemmes · D
- 22 J. Freytes · D
- 06 Rene · D
- 05 F. Bernal · M
- 16 Nonato · M
- 90 K. Serna · M
- 32 L. Acosta · M
- 07 Y. Soteldo · M
- 09 John Kennedy · F
Bench
Vitor Eudes · PH Ganso · Guga · Igor Rabello · Hercules · Julio Fidelis · Wesley Nata · Otavio · G. Cano · Guilherme Arana · J. Millan · Riquelme Felipe
Tactical analysis
Fluminense is expected to control possession (tempo-setter), likely seeking an early breakthrough to exploit Mirassol's fatigue. Mirassol will likely sit in a mid-block, looking for transitions. Expect goals in the [score withheld] minute window as Mirassol's legs tire from their congested schedule.
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Goals / game
1.00
Conceded / game
1.17
Fluminense
4-2-3-1Goals / game
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
Key stats
Mirassol
Stat
Fluminense
- 17Played18
- 4Wins9
- 4Draws4
- 9Losses5
- 18Goals for28
- 24Goals against23
- 1.10Avg goals for1.60
- 1.40Avg goals against1.30
- 1Clean sheets3
- 6Failed to score2
- 50%BTTS (last 6)83%
- 50%Over 2.5 (last 6)67%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 23 May 2026Mirassol vs Fluminense· Serie A1–0
- 6 Nov 2025Fluminense vs Mirassol· Serie A1–0
- 9 Oct 2025Mirassol vs Fluminense· Serie A2–1
Mirassol — last 6
- LA · Atletico Paranaense30 May 20260–1
- LA · Lanus26 May 20260–1
- WH · Fluminense23 May 20261–0
- WA · Always Ready20 May 20262–1
- LA · Atletico-MG16 May 20261–3
- WH · RB Bragantino13 May 20262–1
Fluminense — last 6
- DA · Cruzeiro31 May 20261–1
- WH · Deportivo La Guaira28 May 20263–1
- LA · Mirassol23 May 20260–1
- WH · Bolívar19 May 20262–1
- WH · Sao Paulo16 May 20262–1
- WH · Operario-PR13 May 20262–1
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 29%Draw 30%Away 41%
Best market
Market Lean: Fluminense
Expected match script
Fluminense is expected to control possession (tempo-setter), likely seeking an early breakthrough to exploit Mirassol's fatigue. Mirassol will likely sit in a…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Double chance : draw or Fluminense
Mirassol 10% · Draw 45% · Fluminense 45%
Betting angles
Market Lean: Fluminense
PrimaryModel's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 59%
GoalsMirassol 50% · Fluminense 67% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 67%
Both teamsMirassol 50% · Fluminense 83% in their last 6.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk- Model confidence: 68% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.