Serie A · AI Match Analysis
Lecce
VS
Regular Season - 38
Genoa
Lecce vs GenoaAI Prediction & Match Report
Sun 24 May 2026, 18:45 UTC Serie A Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce D. Doveri Confidence 70%
Open full AI analysis Low risk
Match overview
Lecce win
61%
Draw
28%
Genoa win
11%
Lecce (17th) faces Genoa (15th) in a match defined by relegation stakes. Lecce requires a win to secure safety, while Genoa has no remaining competitive objectives, creating a significant motivation asymmetry.
Team news & motivation
Lecce
HomeWWLWD
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Genoa
AwayLLDDL
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Injuries & suspensions
Lecce
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Genoa
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Probable lineups
Lecce
4-2-3-1Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Starting XI
- 30 W. Falcone · G
- 17 D. Veiga · D
- 05 J. Siebert · D
- 44 Tiago Gabriel · D
- 25 A. Gallo · D
- 20 Y. Ramadani · M
- 79 O. Ngom · M
- 50 S. Pierotti · M
- 29 L. Coulibaly · M
- 19 L. Banda · M
- 99 W. Cheddira · F
Bench
C. Fruchtl · J. Samooja · T. J. Helgason · F. Marchwinski · O. Gandelman · A. Sala · S. Fofana · O. Gorter · F. Camarda · C. Ndaba · K. Ndri · G. Jean · N. Stulic · K. Gaspar · M. Perez
Genoa
3-5-1-1Coach: Daniele De Rossi
Starting XI
- 01 N. Leali · G
- 27 A. Marcandalli · D
- 34 S. Otoa · D
- 13 N. Zatterstrom · D
- 20 S. Sabelli · M
- 32 M. Frendrup · M
- 04 Amorim · M
- 73 P. Masini · M
- 03 A. Martin · M
- 77 M. E. Ellertsson · F
- 29 L. Colombo · F
Bench
J. Bijlow · D. Sommariva · J. Vasquez · B. Norton-Cuffy · M. Romano · G. Lafont · F. Carbone · M. Doucoure · J. Grossi · E. Spicuglia · W. L. Ouedraogo
Tactical analysis
Lecce is expected to control the early tempo, driven by the home crowd and relegation pressure. Genoa will likely sit in a mid-block, looking to exploit Lecce's defensive gaps on the counter. Expect a cagey first half (0-0 or 1-0). If the match is level at 70', Lecce will commit high numbers forward, creating a high-variance finish where a late goal (80'+) is statistically probable.
Lecce
4-2-3-1Goals / game
1.17
Conceded / game
0.83
Genoa
3-5-1-1Goals / game
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
Key stats
Lecce
Stat
Genoa
- —Played—
- —Wins—
- —Draws—
- —Losses—
- —Goals for—
- —Goals against—
- —Avg goals for—
- —Avg goals against—
- —Clean sheets—
- —Failed to score—
- 50%BTTS (last 6)33%
- 33%Over 2.5 (last 6)33%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 24 May 2026Lecce vs Genoa· Serie A1–0
- 23 Aug 2025Genoa vs Lecce· Serie A0–0
- 14 Mar 2025Genoa vs Lecce· Serie A2–1
- 5 Jan 2025Lecce vs Genoa· Serie A0–0
- 28 Jan 2024Genoa vs Lecce· Serie A2–1
- 22 Sep 2023Lecce vs Genoa· Serie A1–0
Lecce — last 6
- WH · Genoa24 May 20261–0
- WA · Sassuolo17 May 20263–2
- LH · Juventus9 May 20260–1
- WA · Pisa1 May 20262–1
- DA · Hellas Verona25 Apr 20260–0
- DH · Fiorentina20 Apr 20261–1
Genoa — last 6
- LA · Lecce24 May 20260–1
- LH · AC Milan17 May 20261–2
- DA · Fiorentina10 May 20260–0
- DA · Atalanta2 May 20260–0
- LH · Como26 Apr 20260–2
- WA · Pisa19 Apr 20262–1
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 61%Draw 28%Away 11%
Best market
Market Lean: Lecce
Value detected
Expected match script
Lecce is expected to control the early tempo, driven by the home crowd and relegation pressure. Genoa will likely sit in a mid-block, looking to exploit Lecce'…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Combo Double chance : Lecce or draw and -3.5 goals
Lecce 35% · Draw 35% · Genoa 30%
Betting angles
Market Lean: Lecce
ValueModel flags edge vs the market price — primary recommended angle.
Over 2.5 trend: 33%
GoalsLecce 33% · Genoa 33% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 42%
Both teamsLecce 50% · Genoa 33% in their last 6.
Goals line read: -3.5
Cross-checkCross-check signal from third-party provider's predictions endpoint.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Low risk- Model confidence: 70% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.