Serie A · AI Match Analysis
Lecce
VS
Regular Season - 38
Genoa
Lecce vs GenoaAI Prediction & Match Report
Sun 24 May 2026, 18:45 UTC Serie A Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce D. Doveri Confidence 70%
Open full AI analysis Low risk
Match overview
Lecce win
61%
Draw
28%
Genoa win
11%
Lecce (17th) faces Genoa (15th) in a match defined by relegation stakes. Lecce requires a win to secure safety, while Genoa has no remaining competitive objectives, creating a significant motivation asymmetry.
Team news & motivation
Lecce
HomeRecent form unavailable.
#17 · 38 pts · 38 P · GD -22
Relegation pressure — three points needed to ease the table fight.
Genoa
AwayLLDDL
#16 · 41 pts · 38 P · GD -10
Relegation pressure — three points needed to ease the table fight.
Injuries & suspensions
Lecce
- M. Berisha — Thigh Injury
- R. Sottil — Back Injury
- M. Berisha — Thigh Injury
- R. Sottil — Back Injury
Genoa
- T. Baldanzi — Illness
- M. Cornet — Muscle Injury
- J. Ekhator — Foot Injury
- C. Ekuban — Injury
- Junior Messias — Muscle Injury
- R. Malinovskyi — Inactive
- J. Onana — Injury
- L. Ostigard — Knock
- Vitinha — Yellow Cards
- T. Baldanzi — Illness
- M. Cornet — Muscle Injury
- J. Ekhator — Foot Injury
- C. Ekuban — Injury
- Junior Messias — Muscle Injury
- R. Malinovskyi — Inactive
- J. Onana — Injury
- L. Ostigard — Knock
- Vitinha — Yellow Cards
Probable lineups
Lecce
4-2-3-1Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Starting XI
- 30 W. Falcone · G
- 17 D. Veiga · D
- 05 J. Siebert · D
- 44 Tiago Gabriel · D
- 25 A. Gallo · D
- 20 Y. Ramadani · M
- 79 O. Ngom · M
- 50 S. Pierotti · M
- 29 L. Coulibaly · M
- 19 L. Banda · M
- 99 W. Cheddira · F
Bench
C. Fruchtl · J. Samooja · T. J. Helgason · F. Marchwinski · O. Gandelman · A. Sala · S. Fofana · O. Gorter · F. Camarda · C. Ndaba · K. Ndri · G. Jean · N. Stulic · K. Gaspar · M. Perez
Genoa
3-5-1-1Coach: Daniele De Rossi
Starting XI
- 01 N. Leali · G
- 27 A. Marcandalli · D
- 34 S. Otoa · D
- 13 N. Zatterstrom · D
- 20 S. Sabelli · M
- 32 M. Frendrup · M
- 04 Amorim · M
- 73 P. Masini · M
- 03 A. Martin · M
- 77 M. E. Ellertsson · F
- 29 L. Colombo · F
Bench
J. Bijlow · D. Sommariva · J. Vasquez · B. Norton-Cuffy · M. Romano · G. Lafont · F. Carbone · M. Doucoure · J. Grossi · E. Spicuglia · W. L. Ouedraogo
Tactical analysis
Lecce is expected to control the early tempo, driven by the home crowd and relegation pressure. Genoa will likely sit in a mid-block, looking to exploit Lecce's defensive gaps on the counter. Expect a cagey first half (0-0 or 1-0). If the match is level at 70', Lecce will commit high numbers forward, creating a high-variance finish where a late goal (80'+) is statistically probable.
Lecce
4-2-3-1Goals / game
—
Conceded / game
—
Genoa
3-5-1-1Goals / game
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
Key stats
Lecce
Stat
Genoa
- —Played—
- —Wins—
- —Draws—
- —Losses—
- —Goals for—
- —Goals against—
- —Avg goals for—
- —Avg goals against—
- —Clean sheets—
- —Failed to score—
- —BTTS (last 6)33%
- —Over 2.5 (last 6)33%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 24 May 2026Lecce vs Genoa· Serie A1–0
- 23 Aug 2025Genoa vs Lecce· Serie A0–0
- 14 Mar 2025Genoa vs Lecce· Serie A2–1
- 5 Jan 2025Lecce vs Genoa· Serie A0–0
- 28 Jan 2024Genoa vs Lecce· Serie A2–1
- 22 Sep 2023Lecce vs Genoa· Serie A1–0
Lecce — last 0
Genoa — last 6
- LA · Lecce24 May 20260–1
- LH · AC Milan17 May 20261–2
- DA · Fiorentina10 May 20260–0
- DA · Atalanta2 May 20260–0
- LH · Como26 Apr 20260–2
- WA · Pisa19 Apr 20262–1
Standings context
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 | 73 |
| 4 | Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +36 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +27 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 56 |
| 9 | Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -3 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -19 | 45 |
| 13 | Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 | 43 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 | Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 18 |
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 61%Draw 28%Away 11%
Best market
Market Lean: Lecce
Value detected
Expected match script
Lecce is expected to control the early tempo, driven by the home crowd and relegation pressure. Genoa will likely sit in a mid-block, looking to exploit Lecce'…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Combo Double chance : Lecce or draw and -3.5 goals
Lecce 35% · Draw 35% · Genoa 30%
Betting angles
Market Lean: Lecce
ValueModel flags edge vs the market price — primary recommended angle.
Goals line read: -3.5
Cross-checkCross-check signal from third-party provider's predictions endpoint.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Low risk- Model confidence: 70% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.