CONMEBOL Libertadores · AI Match Analysis

LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito crest
VS
Group Stage - 5
Lanus crest
Lanus

LDU de Quito vs LanusAI Prediction & Match Report

Thu 21 May 2026, 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito A. Rojas Confidence 72%

Match overview

LDU de Quito win
58%
Draw
26%
Lanus win
16%

LDU de Quito hosts Lanus in a high-stakes Libertadores clash with both teams tied on 6 points. LDU's perfect home record ([record withheld]) faces a Lanus side that has failed to score in any of its tracked away fixtures (0.0 GFA).

Team news & motivation

LDU de Quito
Home
LWDDW
#1 · 12 pts · 6 P · GD +3

European-spot pressure — every point matters for the top-four chase.

Lanus
Away
LWLLL
#3 · 9 pts · 6 P · GD -4

European-spot pressure — every point matters for the top-four chase.

Injuries & suspensions

LDU de Quito
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Lanus
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

LDU de Quito
3-1-4-2
Coach: Nunes Tiago
Starting XI
  • 01 G. Valle · G
  • 30 G. F. Allala Menendez · D
  • 04 R. Ade · D
  • 33 L. Quinonez · D
  • 08 J. Pretell · M
  • 14 J. Quintero · M
  • 20 F. Cornejo · M
  • 15 G. Villamil · M
  • 23 Y. Quinonez · M
  • 11 M. Estrada · F
  • 16 Deyverson · F
Bench
A. Dominguez · L. Segovia · A. Alvarado · J. W. Cuero Mercado · E. Castillo · R. Mina · K. Minda · C. Luna Tobar · J. Medina · R. Redes · R. Mina · J. Caicedo
Lanus
4-2-3-1
Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino
Starting XI
  • 26 N. Losada · G
  • 33 T. Guidara · D
  • 24 C. Izquierdoz · D
  • 13 J. Canale Dominguez · D
  • 06 S. Marcich · D
  • 05 F. Pena Biafore · M
  • 30 A. Cardozo · M
  • 11 E. Salvio · M
  • 10 Marcelino Moreno · M
  • 23 R. Carrera · M
  • 19 Y. Valois · F
Bench
F. Petroli · G. Perez · F. N. Watson · R. De Jesus · T. De Martis · W. Bou · N. Morgantini · M. Sepulveda · L. Besozzi · A. Medina · D. Aquino · B. Cabrera

Tactical analysis

LDU is expected to dominate possession (projected 60%+) and use wide overloads to stretch Lanus's low block. Lanus will likely play for a [score withheld] or a set-piece goal, showing very little intent to press high. Expect a high volume of long-range efforts from LDU to test the keeper in the thin air. Goal window: [score withheld]' or late 75'+ as Lanus fatigue peaks.

LDU de Quito
3-1-4-2
Goals / game
1.33
Conceded / game
0.83
Lanus
4-2-3-1
Goals / game
0.33
Conceded / game
1.67

Key stats

LDU de Quito
Stat
Lanus
  • 6
    Played
  • 4
    Wins
  • 0
    Draws
  • 2
    Losses
  • 8
    Goals for
  • 5
    Goals against
  • 1.30
    Avg goals for
  • 0.80
    Avg goals against
  • 3
    Clean sheets
  • 2
    Failed to score
  • 50%
    BTTS (last 6)
    17%
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    33%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 21 May 2026LDU de Quito vs Lanus· CONMEBOL Libertadores20
  • 28 Apr 2026Lanus vs LDU de Quito· CONMEBOL Libertadores10
  • 22 Aug 2024Lanus vs LDU de Quito· CONMEBOL Sudamericana31
  • 15 Aug 2024LDU de Quito vs Lanus· CONMEBOL Sudamericana12
LDU de Quito — last 6
  • LA · Macara5 Jul 202601
  • WH · Orense SC1 Jul 202630
  • DH · FBC Melgar18 Jun 202600
  • DH · FBC Melgar17 Jun 202611
  • WH · Always Ready26 May 202632
  • DA · Deportivo Cuenca24 May 202611
Lanus — last 6
  • LA · Instituto Cordoba30 May 202612
  • WH · Mirassol26 May 202610
  • LA · LDU de Quito21 May 202602
  • LA · Argentinos JRS10 May 202602
  • LA · Always Ready6 May 202604
  • DH · Deportivo Riestra2 May 202600

Standings context

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU de Quito6402+312
2Mirassol6402+312
3Lanus6303-49
4Always Ready6105-23

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 58%Draw 26%Away 16%
Best market
Market Lean: LDU de Quito
Expected match script
LDU is expected to dominate possession (projected 60%+) and use wide overloads to stretch Lanus's low block. Lanus will likely play for a [score withheld] or a…

Betting angles

Market Lean: LDU de Quito
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 33%
Goals
LDU de Quito 33% · Lanus 33% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 34%
Both teams
LDU de Quito 50% · Lanus 17% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Low risk
  • Model confidence: 72% · Data quality: high
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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