Primeira Liga · AI Match Analysis

Estoril
Estoril crest
VS
Regular Season - 34
Benfica crest
Benfica

Estoril vs BenficaAI Prediction & Match Report

Sat 16 May 2026, 19:30 UTC Primeira Liga Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril M. Nogueira Confidence 76%

Match overview

Estoril win
6%
Draw
13%
Benfica win
81%

Benfica (3rd, 77 pts) travels to Estoril (9th, 39 pts) with a must-win mandate to maintain their unbeaten season ([record withheld]). Estoril is winless in five (0W-2D-3L) and shows signs of end-of-season drift, creating a significant motivational edge for the visitors.

Team news & motivation

Estoril
Home
LDDLL
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Benfica
Away
WDDWW
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Injuries & suspensions

Estoril
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Benfica
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

Estoril
4-3-1-2
Coach: Ian Cathro
Starting XI
  • 01 J. Robles · G
  • 02 R. Sanchez · D
  • 25 F. Bacher · D
  • 04 Ferro · D
  • 20 G. Costa · D
  • 12 J. Carvalho · M
  • 10 J. Holsgrove · M
  • 08 Xeka · M
  • 21 Pizzi · M
  • 19 A. Lacximicant · F
  • 14 Y. Begraoui · F
Bench
D. Dias · R. Guitane · A. Marques · N. Lominadze · P. Amaral · K. Boma · L. Gomes · Peixinho · J. Montes
Benfica
4-2-3-1
Coach: Jose Mourinho
Starting XI
  • 01 A. Trubin · G
  • 06 A. Bah · D
  • 44 T. Araujo · D
  • 30 N. Otamendi · D
  • 26 S. Dahl · D
  • 20 R. Rios · M
  • 08 F. Aursnes · M
  • 25 G. Prestianni · M
  • 27 Rafa Silva · M
  • 21 A. Schjelderup · M
  • 14 V. Pavlidis · F
Bench
S. Soares · L. Barreiro · F. Ivanovic · Manu · Bruma · D. Lukebakio · A. Dedic · G. Sudakov · A. Silva

Tactical analysis

Benfica is expected to dominate possession (projected >60%) and press high from the kickoff to exploit Estoril's low confidence. A goal in the [score withheld] minute window is statistically likely given Benfica's recent scoring patterns. If Benfica leads at halftime, Estoril's lack of motivation may lead to a defensive collapse in the final 20 minutes, making the -1.5 AH a viable live-trading target.

Estoril
4-3-1-2
Goals / game
0.67
Conceded / game
1.67
Benfica
4-2-3-1
Goals / game
2.50
Conceded / game
1.17

Key stats

Estoril
Stat
Benfica
  • 34
    Played
    34
  • 10
    Wins
    23
  • 9
    Draws
    11
  • 15
    Losses
    0
  • 54
    Goals for
    74
  • 57
    Goals against
    25
  • 1.60
    Avg goals for
    2.20
  • 1.70
    Avg goals against
    0.70
  • 5
    Clean sheets
    14
  • 10
    Failed to score
    2
  • 67%
    BTTS (last 6)
    83%
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    83%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

No verified historical meetings between Estoril and Benfica.
Estoril — last 6
  • LH · Benfica16 May 202613
  • DA · Alverca10 May 202611
  • DA · SC Braga3 May 202611
  • LH · Famalicao26 Apr 202601
  • LA · Moreirense20 Apr 202601
  • LH · FC Porto12 Apr 202613
Benfica — last 6
  • WA · Estoril16 May 202631
  • DH · SC Braga11 May 202622
  • DA · Famalicao2 May 202622
  • WH · Moreirense25 Apr 202641
  • WA · Sporting CP19 Apr 202621
  • WH · Nacional12 Apr 202620

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 6%Draw 13%Away 81%
Best market
Market Lean: Benfica
Expected match script
Benfica is expected to dominate possession (projected >60%) and press high from the kickoff to exploit Estoril's low confidence. A goal in the [score withheld]…

Betting angles

Market Lean: Benfica
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 58%
Goals
Estoril 33% · Benfica 83% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 75%
Both teams
Estoril 67% · Benfica 83% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Low risk
  • Model confidence: 76% · Data quality: high
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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