World Cup · World Cup analytics
England
VS
Group Stage - 1
Croatia
England vs CroatiaAI Prediction & Match Report
Wed 17 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC World Cup AT&T Stadium, Arlington Clement Turpin, France Confidence 72%
Open full AI analysis Low risk
Match overview
England win
61%
Draw
25%
Croatia win
14%
England (3W-1D-1L) hosts Croatia (3W-0D-2L) in a high-stakes World Cup fixture. England's elite defensive record (0.4 GA avg) faces a Croatia side that is scoring well (1.6 GFA) but struggling defensively (1.8 GA avg).
Team news & motivation
England
HomeWWWLD
Group / table position unavailable.
Group context not yet published by the provider. Motivation read will refresh once standings are live.
Croatia
AwayLWLLW
Group / table position unavailable.
Group context not yet published by the provider. Motivation read will refresh once standings are live.
Injuries & suspensions
England
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Croatia
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Probable lineups
England
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Starting XI
- 01 J. Pickford · G
- 24 R. James · D
- 02 E. Konsa · D
- 05 J. Stones · D
- 03 N. O'Reilly · D
- 08 E. Anderson · M
- 04 D. Rice · M
- 20 N. Madueke · M
- 10 J. Bellingham · M
- 18 A. Gordon · M
- 09 H. Kane · F
Bench
D. Henderson · J. Trafford · J. Henderson · D. Burn · O. Watkins · M. Rogers · B. Saka · K. Mainoo · I. Toney · M. Rashford · E. Eze · M. Guehi · D. Spence · J. Quansah
Croatia
3-4-2-1Coach: Zlatko Dalic
Starting XI
- 01 D. Livakovic · G
- 06 J. Sutalo · D
- 22 L. Vuskovic · D
- 04 J. Gvardiol · D
- 02 J. Stanisic · M
- 10 L. Modric · M
- 15 M. Pasalic · M
- 14 I. Perisic · M
- 17 P. Sucic · F
- 16 M. Baturina · F
- 26 P. Musa · F
Bench
D. Kotarski · I. Pandur · A. Kramaric · A. Budimir · D. Caleta-Car · N. Vlasic · N. Moro · M. Erlic · K. Jakic · M. Pongracic · L. Sucic · M. Pasalic · I. Matanovic · M. Kovacic · T. Fruk
Tactical analysis
Expect a measured opening 20 minutes with England maintaining 55%+ possession. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the [score withheld] minute window as Croatia's defensive structure (1.8 GA avg) tends to tire. If England scores first, expect a significant drop in tempo as they revert to the low-block that produced their 0.4 GA record.
England
4-2-3-1Goals / game
1.83
Conceded / game
0.67
Croatia
3-4-2-1Goals / game
1.67
Conceded / game
2.17
Key stats
England
Stat
Croatia
- —Played1
- —Wins0
- —Draws0
- —Losses1
- —Goals for2
- —Goals against4
- —Avg goals for2.00
- —Avg goals against4.00
- —Clean sheets0
- —Failed to score0
- 33%BTTS (last 6)83%
- 33%Over 2.5 (last 6)83%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 17 Jun 2026England vs Croatia· World Cup4–2
- 13 Jun 2021England vs Croatia· Euro Championship1–0
- 18 Nov 2018England vs Croatia· UEFA Nations League2–1
- 12 Oct 2018Croatia vs England· UEFA Nations League0–0
- 11 Jul 2018Croatia vs England· World Cup2–1
England — last 6
- WH · Croatia17 Jun 20264–2
- WH · Costa Rica10 Jun 20263–0
- WH · New Zealand6 Jun 20261–0
- LH · Japan31 Mar 20260–1
- DH · Uruguay27 Mar 20261–1
- WA · Albania16 Nov 20252–0
Croatia — last 6
- LA · England17 Jun 20262–4
- WH · Slovenia7 Jun 20262–1
- LH · Belgium2 Jun 20260–2
- LA · Brazil1 Apr 20261–3
- WA · Colombia26 Mar 20262–1
- WA · Montenegro17 Nov 20253–2
Group standings
Group / league standings not yet published for this competition.
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 61%Draw 25%Away 14%
Best market
Market Lean: England
Expected match script
Expect a measured opening 20 minutes with England maintaining 55%+ possession. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the [score withheld] minute window as Croati…
Betting angles
Market Lean: England
PrimaryModel's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 58%
GoalsEngland 33% · Croatia 83% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 58%
Both teamsEngland 33% · Croatia 83% in their last 6.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Low risk- Model confidence: 72% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.