Primera División - Apertura · AI Match Analysis
Deportivo Maldonado vs DanubioAI Prediction & Match Report
Match overview
Deportivo Maldonado (2nd) hosts Danubio (13th) with a massive venue advantage, having won 7 of 8 home games. Danubio's poor away form (2.0 GA avg) and Maldonado's high motivation for continental qualification create a clear market edge on the home side.
Team news & motivation
European-spot pressure — every point matters for the top-four chase.
Relegation pressure — three points needed to ease the table fight.
Injuries & suspensions
Probable lineups
Tactical analysis
Maldonado is expected to dominate possession early (Phase 1), utilizing their 2.0 GFA home efficiency to test a Danubio defense that concedes 2.0 GA away. A goal in the [score withheld] minute window is statistically likely. If Maldonado leads at halftime, Danubio's low scoring profile (0.8 GFA overall) suggests they will struggle to find an equalizer, likely leading to a late second goal for the hosts on the counter.
Key stats
- —Played18
- —Wins4
- —Draws7
- —Losses7
- —Goals for19
- —Goals against26
- —Avg goals for1.10
- —Avg goals against1.40
- —Clean sheets4
- —Failed to score6
- —BTTS (last 6)—
- —Over 2.5 (last 6)—
Head-to-head & recent form
- 18 May 2026Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio· Primera División - Apertura3–1
- 19 Apr 2026Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado· Primera División - Apertura1–1
- 2 Dec 2024Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio· Primera División - Clausura3–1
- 3 Jun 2024Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado· Primera División - Apertura1–1
- 6 Nov 2023Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio· Primera División - Clausura1–2
- 25 Mar 2023Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado· Primera División - Apertura4–0
Standings context
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | +10 | 37 |
| 3 | Penarol | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | +10 | 36 |
| 4 | Albion FC | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +9 | 32 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | +5 | 31 |
| 6 | Central Espanol | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 31 |
| 7 | Atletico Torque | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 24 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -1 | 23 |
| 12 | Boston River | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 21 |
| 13 | Danubio | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 14 | Juventud | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | Progreso | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | Cerro | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -21 | 13 |
Prediction model
Betting angles
Risk warning
- Model confidence: 76% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.