CONMEBOL Libertadores · AI Match Analysis
Deportivo La Guaira
VS
Group Stage - 5
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. RivadaviaAI Prediction & Match Report
Thu 21 May 2026, 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas M. D. de Vivar Confidence 72%
Open full AI analysis Low risk
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Match overview
Deportivo La Guaira win
15%
Draw
27%
Independ. Rivadavia win
58%
Independiente Rivadavia (1st) travels to face Deportivo La Guaira (4th) in a match defined by a significant class gap but high draw variance. The visitors won the recent H2H 4-1, while the hosts have drawn 5 consecutive matches.
Team news & motivation
Deportivo La Guaira
HomeLLWLD
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Independ. Rivadavia
AwayWWLDD
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Injuries & suspensions
Deportivo La Guaira
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Independ. Rivadavia
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Probable lineups
Deportivo La Guaira
3-4-2-1Coach: Hector Bidoglio
Starting XI
- 01 C. Varela · G
- 24 G. Ortiz · D
- 03 D. Osio · D
- 05 M. Gianoli · D
- 16 L. Martinez
- 27 J. Correa · M
- 06 C. Faya · M
- 20 J. Gutierrez · M
- 77 R. Arace · F
- 18 Y. Rivas · F
- 36 F. Londono · F
Bench
J. Sanchez · A. Uribe · A. Rodriguez · M. Sulbaran · F. Caceres · G. Ascanio · J. Meza · J. Castellanos · N. Hernandez · R. Ibarra · J. Perdomo · C. Da Silva
Independ. Rivadavia
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfredo Berti
Starting XI
- 01 N. Bolcato · G
- 14 L. Gomez · D
- 02 L. Costa · D
- 42 S. Studer · D
- 03 J. M. Elordi · D
- 05 T. Bottari · M
- 25 J. I. Florentin Bobadilla · M
- 11 G. Rios · M
- 10 M. Fernandez · M
- 22 S. Villa · M
- 09 A. Arce · F
Bench
E. F. Gomez Riga · V. Ramis · L. Bucca · S. Moreyra · D. Crego · R. Atencio · A. Osella · F. Sartori · E. Bonifacio · I. Villalba · A. Riep · K. A. Vazquez
Tactical analysis
Expect Independiente Rivadavia to control the middle third, facing a deep-sitting La Guaira block. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the second half ([score withheld] min) as the hosts' defensive fatigue sets. If the match is [score withheld] at 60 minutes, the 'Away Draw No Bet' or 'Away to Score Next' becomes the primary live entry.
Deportivo La Guaira
3-4-2-1Goals / game
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
Independ. Rivadavia
4-2-3-1Goals / game
2.33
Conceded / game
1.33
Key stats
Deportivo La Guaira
Stat
Independ. Rivadavia
- 6Played—
- 0Wins—
- 3Draws—
- 3Losses—
- 6Goals for—
- 13Goals against—
- 1.00Avg goals for—
- 2.20Avg goals against—
- 1Clean sheets—
- 1Failed to score—
- 50%BTTS (last 6)100%
- 33%Over 2.5 (last 6)67%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 21 May 2026Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia· CONMEBOL Libertadores2–4
- 30 Apr 2026Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira· CONMEBOL Libertadores4–1
Deportivo La Guaira — last 6
- LH · Puerto Cabello31 May 20260–2
- LA · Fluminense28 May 20261–3
- WA · Portuguesa FC23 May 20262–0
- LH · Independ. Rivadavia21 May 20262–4
- DH · UCV15 May 20260–0
- DA · UCV12 May 20261–1
Independ. Rivadavia — last 6
- WA · Bolívar28 May 20263–1
- WA · Deportivo La Guaira21 May 20264–2
- LH · Union Santa Fe10 May 20261–2
- DH · Fluminense7 May 20261–1
- DA · Aldosivi3 May 20261–1
- WH · Deportivo La Guaira30 Apr 20264–1
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 15%Draw 27%Away 58%
Best market
Market Lean: Independ. Rivadavia
Expected match script
Expect Independiente Rivadavia to control the middle third, facing a deep-sitting La Guaira block. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the second half ([score…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Double chance : draw or Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira 0% · Draw 50% · Independ. Rivadavia 50%
Betting angles
Market Lean: Independ. Rivadavia
PrimaryModel's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 50%
GoalsDeportivo La Guaira 33% · Independ. Rivadavia 67% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 75%
Both teamsDeportivo La Guaira 50% · Independ. Rivadavia 100% in their last 6.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Low risk- Model confidence: 72% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.