Serie A · AI Match Analysis
Coritiba vs BahiaAI Prediction & Match Report
Match overview
Coritiba (6th) hosts Bahia (8th) in a match defined by motivation asymmetry. Coritiba is fighting for continental spots with high pressure, while Bahia is winless in 5 matches. Despite Bahia's historical H2H dominance, current form and home defensive metrics (1.0 GA) suggest a slight market undervaluation of the home side.
Team news & motivation
Mid-table position — playing for momentum and bonus targets rather than survival or Europe.
Mid-table position — playing for momentum and bonus targets rather than survival or Europe.
Injuries & suspensions
Probable lineups
Tactical analysis
Coritiba is expected to control the initial phases ([score withheld]-3-1), utilizing home field to press a Bahia side that has struggled for confidence. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the second half; 4 of Bahia's last 5 matches have seen decisive goals after the 60th minute. If Coritiba scores first, Bahia's high away GA (1.6) suggests they may struggle to close gaps while chasing the game.
Key stats
- —Played17
- —Wins7
- —Draws5
- —Losses5
- —Goals for25
- —Goals against23
- —Avg goals for1.50
- —Avg goals against1.40
- —Clean sheets4
- —Failed to score1
- 50%BTTS (last 6)—
- 83%Over 2.5 (last 6)—
Head-to-head & recent form
- 25 May 2026Coritiba vs Bahia· Serie A3–2
- 14 Sep 2023Coritiba vs Bahia· Serie A2–4
- 7 May 2023Bahia vs Coritiba· Serie A3–1
- 16 Nov 2020Coritiba vs Bahia· Serie A1–2
- 12 Aug 2020Bahia vs Coritiba· Serie A1–0
- 30 Sep 2017Bahia vs Coritiba· Serie A1–1
- LA · Flamengo30 May 20260–3
- WH · Bahia25 May 20263–2
- WA · Santos17 May 20263–0
- LH · Santos13 May 20260–2
- DH · Internacional9 May 20262–2
- LA · Vitoria2 May 20261–4
Standings context
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | +17 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +6 | 29 |
| 6 | Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +3 | 25 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco DA Gama | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 20 |
| 18 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -16 | 9 |
Prediction model
Betting angles
Risk warning
- Model confidence: 70% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.