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Serie A · AI Match Analysis

Coritiba
Coritiba crest
VS
Regular Season - 17
Bahia crest
Bahia

Coritiba vs BahiaAI Prediction & Match Report

Mon 25 May 2026, 23:00 UTC Serie A Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba A. Daronco Confidence 70%
Open full AI analysis Low risk
24 Watching

Match overview

Coritiba win
45%
Draw
27%
Bahia win
28%

Coritiba (6th) hosts Bahia (8th) in a match defined by motivation asymmetry. Coritiba is fighting for continental spots with high pressure, while Bahia is winless in 5 matches. Despite Bahia's historical H2H dominance, current form and home defensive metrics (1.0 GA) suggest a slight market undervaluation of the home side.

Team news & motivation

Coritiba
Home
Recent form unavailable.
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Bahia
Away
WLDLL
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Injuries & suspensions

Coritiba
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Bahia
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

Coritiba is expected to control the initial phases ([score withheld]-3-1), utilizing home field to press a Bahia side that has struggled for confidence. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the second half; 4 of Bahia's last 5 matches have seen decisive goals after the 60th minute. If Coritiba scores first, Bahia's high away GA (1.6) suggests they may struggle to close gaps while chasing the game.

Coritiba
Shape TBD
Goals / game
—
Conceded / game
—
Bahia
Shape TBD
Goals / game
1.50
Conceded / game
1.83

Key stats

Coritiba
Stat
Bahia
  • 18
    Played
    17
  • 7
    Wins
    7
  • 5
    Draws
    5
  • 6
    Losses
    5
  • 24
    Goals for
    25
  • 24
    Goals against
    23
  • 1.30
    Avg goals for
    1.50
  • 1.30
    Avg goals against
    1.40
  • 5
    Clean sheets
    4
  • 5
    Failed to score
    1
  • —
    BTTS (last 6)
    100%
  • —
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    83%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 25 May 2026Coritiba vs Bahia· Serie A3–2
  • 14 Sep 2023Coritiba vs Bahia· Serie A2–4
  • 7 May 2023Bahia vs Coritiba· Serie A3–1
  • 16 Nov 2020Coritiba vs Bahia· Serie A1–2
  • 12 Aug 2020Bahia vs Coritiba· Serie A1–0
  • 30 Sep 2017Bahia vs Coritiba· Serie A1–1
Coritiba — last 0
    Bahia — last 6
    • WH · Botafogo30 May 20262–1
    • LA · Coritiba25 May 20262–3
    • DH · Gremio17 May 20261–1
    • LA · Remo14 May 20261–2
    • LH · Cruzeiro10 May 20261–2
    • DA · Sao Paulo3 May 20262–2

    Prediction model

    OddysAI model output
    Home 45%Draw 27%Away 28%
    Best market
    Market Lean: Coritiba
    Expected match script
    Coritiba is expected to control the initial phases ([score withheld]-3-1), utilizing home field to press a Bahia side that has struggled for confidence. Goal t…

    Betting angles

    Market Lean: Coritiba
    Primary
    Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.

    Risk warning

    Responsible-betting disclaimer
    Low risk
    • Model confidence: 70% · Data quality: high
    • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
    • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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