Major League Soccer · AI Match Analysis

CF Montreal
CF Montreal crest
VS
Regular Season - 15
Chicago Fire crest
Chicago Fire

CF Montreal vs Chicago FireAI Prediction & Match Report

Sat 16 May 2026, 20:30 UTC Major League Soccer Saputo Stadium, Montréal F. Bazakos Confidence 62%
28 Watching

Match overview

CF Montreal win
28%
Draw
24%
Chicago Fire win
49%

Chicago Fire (4th) travels to CF Montreal (11th) with a significant motivation advantage and superior league standing. Despite an extensive injury list, Chicago's pursuit of European qualification and Montreal's extreme fixture congestion (3 games in 10 days) create a pricing inefficiency favoring the visitors.

Team news & motivation

CF Montreal
Home
DLDWW
#11 · 14 pts · 14 P · GD -9

Mid-table position — playing for momentum and bonus targets rather than survival or Europe.

Chicago Fire
Away
Recent form unavailable.
#3 · 26 pts · 14 P · GD +11

European-spot pressure — every point matters for the top-four chase.

Injuries & suspensions

CF Montreal
  • F. Herbers Lower-Body Injury
  • B. Hidalgo Groin Injury
  • S. Ibrahim Back Injury
  • F. Herbers Lower-Body Injury
  • B. Hidalgo Groin Injury
  • S. Ibrahim Back Injury
Chicago Fire
  • L. Barroso Lower-Body Injury
  • D. D'Avilla Yellow Cards
  • A. Franco Knee Injury
  • S. Oregel Head Injury
  • A. Saletros Head Injury
  • L. Barroso Lower-Body Injury
  • D. D'Avilla Yellow Cards
  • A. Franco Knee Injury
  • S. Oregel Head Injury
  • A. Saletros Head Injury

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

Chicago is expected to control the early phases ([score withheld] mins) to test Montreal's rotated lineup. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the [score withheld] minute window when Montreal's fixture congestion (3 games in 10 days) typically triggers physical drop-offs. If Chicago scores first, Montreal's lack of urgency (neutral pressure) may lead to a low-resistance finish.

CF Montreal
Shape TBD
Goals / game
2.33
Conceded / game
1.83
Chicago Fire
Shape TBD
Goals / game
Conceded / game

Key stats

CF Montreal
Stat
Chicago Fire
  • Played
  • Wins
  • Draws
  • Losses
  • Goals for
  • Goals against
  • Avg goals for
  • Avg goals against
  • Clean sheets
  • Failed to score
  • 50%
    BTTS (last 6)
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

No verified historical meetings between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire.
CF Montreal — last 6
  • DA · DC United23 May 202644
  • LH · Chicago Fire16 May 202602
  • DH · Portland Timbers13 May 202622
  • WH · Orlando City SC9 May 202620
  • WH · Calgary Blizzard SC6 May 202650
  • LA · Atlanta United FC2 May 202613
Chicago Fire — last 0

    Standings context

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Nashville SC141031+2033
    2Inter Miami15942+1131
    3Chicago Fire14824+1126
    4New England Revolution14815+425
    5New York Red Bulls15645-722
    6Charlotte15636+121
    7FC Cincinnati15555-120
    8New York City FC15546+419
    9DC United15465-418
    10Columbus Crew15447-216
    11CF Montreal14428-914
    12Orlando City SC15429-2114
    13Toronto FC14356-714
    14Atlanta United FC14329-911
    15Philadelphia Union151410-127

    Prediction model

    OddysAI model output
    Home 28%Draw 24%Away 49%
    Best market
    Market Lean: Chicago Fire
    Expected match script
    Chicago is expected to control the early phases ([score withheld] mins) to test Montreal's rotated lineup. Goal timing is likely skewed toward the [score withh…

    Betting angles

    Market Lean: Chicago Fire
    Primary
    Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.

    Risk warning

    Responsible-betting disclaimer
    Medium risk
    • Model confidence: 62% · Data quality: high
    • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
    • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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