Primeira Liga · AI Match Analysis
Casa Pia vs TorreenseAI Prediction & Match Report
Match overview
Market analysis reveals a discrepancy between Casa Pia's 2.30 favorite status and their 1W-2D-2L form. Torreense enters with a 4W-1D-0L record and superior scoring (2.2 GFA), suggesting a potential 10.7% value edge on the visitors, tempered by Casa Pia's urgent relegation-battle motivation.
Team news & motivation
Relegation pressure — three points needed to ease the table fight.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Injuries & suspensions
Probable lineups
Tactical analysis
Casa Pia is expected to start cautiously, prioritizing defensive stability given the relegation stakes. Torreense will likely control possession (projected 55%+) and test the home side's resolve early. If the match remains 0-0 past the 60th minute, Casa Pia's 'must-win' pressure will force them to commit bodies forward, likely opening transition lanes for Torreense to exploit in the final 20 minutes. Goal timing is skewed toward the second half.
Key stats
- 36Played—
- 7Wins—
- 13Draws—
- 16Losses—
- 33Goals for—
- 57Goals against—
- 0.90Avg goals for—
- 1.60Avg goals against—
- 9Clean sheets—
- 16Failed to score—
- 33%BTTS (last 6)50%
- 17%Over 2.5 (last 6)67%
Head-to-head & recent form
- 28 May 2026Casa Pia vs Torreense· Primeira Liga2–0
- 20 May 2026Torreense vs Casa Pia· Primeira Liga0–0
- 17 Dec 2025Casa Pia vs Torreense· Taça de Portugal1–2
- 19 Jul 2025Casa Pia vs Torreense· Friendlies Clubs4–4
- 30 Jul 2023Torreense vs Casa Pia· Taça da Liga0–2
- 14 Jul 2021Casa Pia vs Torreense· Friendlies Clubs2–1
- WH · Torreense28 May 20262–0
- DA · Torreense20 May 20260–0
- DH · Rio Ave16 May 20261–1
- WA · Guimaraes11 May 20261–0
- LH · Tondela3 May 20260–1
- LA · GIL Vicente27 Apr 20261–2
- LA · Casa Pia28 May 20260–2
- WA · Sporting CP24 May 20262–1
- DH · Casa Pia20 May 20260–0
- WH · Vizela16 May 20264–0
- WA · Lusitânia Lourosa9 May 20262–1
- WH · Penafiel4 May 20263–2
Standings context
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 | 80 |
| 4 | SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +28 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 42 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -22 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 | 21 |
Prediction model
Betting angles
Risk warning
- Model confidence: 60% · Data quality: high
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.