OddysAI logoODDYSΛI
Sign inGet started

World Cup · World Cup analytics

Brazil
Brazil crest
VS
Round of 32
Japan crest
Japan

Brazil vs JapanAI Prediction & Match Report

Mon 29 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC World Cup NRG Stadium, Houston M. Mariani Confidence 60%
Open full AI analysis Medium risk
51 Watching

Match overview

Brazil win
58%
Draw
24%
Japan win
18%

Brazil enters as the statistical favorite with a 4W-1D-0L recent record, but faces a disciplined Japan side (0.6 GAA) and significant injury concerns for Neymar and Raphinha. Historical H2H favors Brazil, though Japan won the most recent meeting in 2025.

Team news & motivation

Brazil
Home
WWDWW
#1 · 7 pts · 3 P · GD +6

Inside the qualification spots — a draw protects progression, a win seals top of group.

Japan
Away
DWDWW
Group / table position unavailable.

Group context not yet published by the provider. Motivation read will refresh once standings are live.

Injuries & suspensions

Brazil
  • Raphinha — Hamstring Muscle Injury
Japan
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

Brazil is expected to control the initial phases, seeking an early breakthrough to force Japan out of their mid-block. Japan will likely remain compact, targeting the [score withheld] minute window for counter-attacks as Brazil's intensity potentially wanes. A low-scoring first half is statistically probable given Japan's 0.6 GAA.

Brazil
Shape TBD
Goals / game
3.00
Conceded / game
0.83
Japan
Shape TBD
Goals / game
1.67
Conceded / game
0.50

Key stats

Brazil
Stat
Japan
  • 3
    Played
    3
  • 2
    Wins
    1
  • 1
    Draws
    2
  • 0
    Losses
    0
  • 7
    Goals for
    7
  • 1
    Goals against
    3
  • 2.30
    Avg goals for
    2.30
  • 0.30
    Avg goals against
    1.00
  • 2
    Clean sheets
    1
  • 0
    Failed to score
    0
  • 67%
    BTTS (last 6)
    33%
  • 83%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    33%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 14 Oct 2025Japan vs Brazil· Friendlies3–2
  • 6 Jun 2022Japan vs Brazil· Friendlies0–1
  • 10 Nov 2017Japan vs Brazil· Friendlies1–3
  • 15 Jun 2013Brazil vs Japan· Confederations Cup3–0
Brazil — last 6
  • WA · Scotland24 Jun 20263–0
  • WH · Haiti20 Jun 20263–0
  • DH · Morocco13 Jun 20261–1
  • WH · Egypt6 Jun 20262–1
  • WH · Panama31 May 20266–2
  • WH · Croatia1 Apr 20263–1
Japan — last 6
  • DH · Sweden25 Jun 20261–1
  • WA · Tunisia21 Jun 20264–0
  • DA · Netherlands14 Jun 20262–2
  • WH · Iceland31 May 20261–0
  • WA · England31 Mar 20261–0
  • WA · Scotland28 Mar 20261–0

Group standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brazil3210+67
2Morocco3210+37
3Scotland3102-33
4Haiti3003-60

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 58%Draw 24%Away 18%
Best market
Market Lean: Brazil
Expected match script
Brazil is expected to control the initial phases, seeking an early breakthrough to force Japan out of their mid-block. Japan will likely remain compact, target…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Double chance : Brazil or draw
Brazil 45% · Draw 45% · Japan 10%

Betting angles

Market Lean: Brazil
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 58%
Goals
Brazil 83% · Japan 33% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 50%
Both teams
Brazil 67% · Japan 33% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk
  • Model confidence: 60% · Data quality: high
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

Keep exploring

Today's football predictions How AI predictions work