Virsliga · AI Match Analysis
BFC Daugavpils
VS
Regular Season - 19
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils vs GrobiņaAI Prediction & Match Report
Sat 20 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils S. Vasjkovs Confidence 60%
Open full AI analysis Medium risk
24 Watching
Match overview
BFC Daugavpils win
58%
Draw
28%
Grobiņa win
14%
BFC Daugavpils (1W-3D-1L) hosts Grobiņa (1W-1D-3L) in a match defined by low offensive output. Daugavpils holds a slight model edge (58% vs 54% implied) based on defensive metrics, though a high draw rate (3 of last 5) remains a significant market risk.
Team news & motivation
BFC Daugavpils
HomeWDDDL
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Grobiņa
AwayLWLLD
Group / table position unavailable.
Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.
Injuries & suspensions
BFC Daugavpils
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Grobiņa
No injury or suspension reports flagged by the provider for this match.
Probable lineups
BFC Daugavpils
Coach: Kirils Kurbatov
Starting XI
- 12 J. Beks
- 08 R. Skrebels
- 05 Papa
- 20 C. Taty
- 34 Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
- 04 W. Mukwelle
- 10 E. Ivanovs
- 11 J. Yakubu
- 22 A. Garzha
- 09 A. Traore
- 15 R. Ndjiki
Bench
J. Saveljevs · D. Aronisko · D. Kivinda · R. Aizups · M. Kopilovs · M. Sylla · G. Mihalcovs · E. Pinaskins · R. Baikovs
Grobiņa
Coach: Oskars Klava
Starting XI
- 01 V. Kudrjavcevs
- 02 K. Rupeiks
- 03 D. Druzinins
- 08 O. Olatunde-Matthew
- 27 R. Baravykas
- 32 G. Kluskins
- 87 J. Ribeiro
- 11 O. Rascevskis
- 14 M. Sidorovs
- 13 A. Aruna
- 99 A. Puzirevskis
Bench
T. Laizans · A. Kholod · M. Fjodorovs · D. Dobrecovs · J. Krautmanis · D. Sirbu · H. Yamada
Tactical analysis
Expect a cagey opening 30 minutes with Daugavpils controlling 55%+ possession but struggling to penetrate Grobiņa's low block. Goal timing is likely pushed to the second half ([score withheld] min window). If the match remains [score withheld] at HT, the Under 1.5 live market becomes the primary interest. Grobiņa will rely almost exclusively on set-pieces or counter-attacks.
BFC Daugavpils
Shape TBDGoals / game
1.00
Conceded / game
0.67
Grobiņa
Shape TBDGoals / game
0.50
Conceded / game
1.50
Key stats
BFC Daugavpils
Stat
Grobiņa
- 19Played19
- 6Wins3
- 5Draws7
- 8Losses9
- 21Goals for12
- 25Goals against30
- 1.10Avg goals for0.60
- 1.30Avg goals against1.60
- 4Clean sheets4
- 5Failed to score9
- 50%BTTS (last 6)33%
- 17%Over 2.5 (last 6)17%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.
Head-to-head & recent form
- 20 Jun 2026BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa· Virsliga1–0
- 2 May 2026Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils· Virsliga1–1
- 7 Mar 2026BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa· Virsliga0–1
- 15 Sep 2025BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa· Virsliga3–2
- 26 Jun 2025BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa· Virsliga3–2
- 4 May 2025Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils· Virsliga1–0
BFC Daugavpils — last 6
- WH · Grobiņa20 Jun 20261–0
- DH · Super Nova16 Jun 20260–0
- DA · Tukums12 Jun 20261–1
- DA · FS Jelgava31 May 20261–1
- LH · Auda26 May 20260–1
- WH · Ogre United21 May 20263–1
Grobiņa — last 6
- LA · BFC Daugavpils20 Jun 20260–1
- WH · FK Liepaja16 Jun 20261–0
- LH · Rīgas FS13 Jun 20261–3
- LA · Riga29 May 20260–2
- DA · Ogre United25 May 20261–1
- LH · Super Nova20 May 20260–2
Prediction model
OddysAI model output
Home 58%Draw 28%Away 14%
Best market
Market Lean: BFC Daugavpils
Expected match script
Expect a cagey opening 30 minutes with Daugavpils controlling 55%+ possession but struggling to penetrate Grobiņa's low block. Goal timing is likely pushed to…
Cross-check (third-party model)
Combo Double chance : BFC Daugavpils or draw and -3.5 goals
BFC Daugavpils 45% · Draw 45% · Grobiņa 10%
Betting angles
Market Lean: BFC Daugavpils
PrimaryModel's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 17%
GoalsBFC Daugavpils 17% · Grobiņa 17% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 42%
Both teamsBFC Daugavpils 50% · Grobiņa 33% in their last 6.
Goals line read: -3.5
Cross-checkCross-check signal from third-party provider's predictions endpoint.
Risk warning
Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk- Model confidence: 60% · Data quality: medium
- Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
- OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.