Bundesliga · AI Match Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen crest
VS
Regular Season - 34
Hamburger SV crest
Hamburger SV

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SVAI Prediction & Match Report

Sat 16 May 2026, 13:30 UTC Bundesliga BayArena, Leverkusen Tobias Stieler, Germany Confidence 70%

Match overview

Bayer Leverkusen win
79%
Draw
15%
Hamburger SV win
7%

Bayer Leverkusen (6th) hosts Hamburger SV (11th) in a match where venue dominance meets away-day fragility. Leverkusen averages 2.3 goals at home, while HSV has lost 9 of 16 away matches, conceding 1.9 goals per game.

Team news & motivation

Bayer Leverkusen
Home
DLWWL
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Hamburger SV
Away
DWWLL
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Injuries & suspensions

Bayer Leverkusen
  • C. Kofane Shoulder Injury
  • N. Tella Muscle Injury
  • M. Terrier Hamstring Injury
  • C. Kofane Shoulder Injury
  • N. Tella Muscle Injury
  • M. Terrier Hamstring Injury
Hamburger SV
  • R. Glatzel Calf Injury
  • A. Rossing-Lelesiit Ankle Injury
  • R. Glatzel Calf Injury
  • A. Rossing-Lelesiit Ankle Injury

Probable lineups

Probable lineups are published by the provider closer to kickoff. This panel will populate automatically once team sheets land.

Tactical analysis

Leverkusen is expected to control the early phases, utilizing their 2.3 GFA home average to pressure a porous HSV defense (2.4 GA avg in last 5). Expect a high-tempo start from the hosts, with a likely goal window in the first 30 minutes. HSV will likely sit in a mid-block and look for transitions, but their low urgency may result in passive defending during set-pieces.

Bayer Leverkusen
Shape TBD
Goals / game
1.50
Conceded / game
1.67
Hamburger SV
Shape TBD
Goals / game
1.33
Conceded / game
2.17

Key stats

Bayer Leverkusen
Stat
Hamburger SV
  • 34
    Played
  • 17
    Wins
  • 8
    Draws
  • 9
    Losses
  • 68
    Goals for
  • 47
    Goals against
  • 2.00
    Avg goals for
  • 1.40
    Avg goals against
  • 8
    Clean sheets
  • 4
    Failed to score
  • 83%
    BTTS (last 6)
    83%
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    83%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

  • 16 May 2026Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV· Bundesliga11
  • 4 Mar 2026Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen· Bundesliga01
  • 17 Feb 2018Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen· Bundesliga12
  • 24 Sep 2017Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV· Bundesliga30
  • 3 Feb 2017Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen· Bundesliga10
  • 10 Sep 2016Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV· Bundesliga31
Bayer Leverkusen — last 6
  • DH · Hamburger SV16 May 202611
  • LA · VfB Stuttgart9 May 202613
  • WH · RB Leipzig2 May 202641
  • WA · 1. FC Köln25 Apr 202621
  • LH · Bayern München22 Apr 202602
  • LH · FC Augsburg18 Apr 202612
Hamburger SV — last 6
  • DA · Bayer Leverkusen16 May 202611
  • WH · SC Freiburg10 May 202632
  • WA · Eintracht Frankfurt2 May 202621
  • LH · 1899 Hoffenheim25 Apr 202612
  • LA · Werder Bremen18 Apr 202613
  • LA · VfB Stuttgart12 Apr 202604

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 79%Draw 15%Away 7%
Best market
Market Lean: Bayer Leverkusen
Expected match script
Leverkusen is expected to control the early phases, utilizing their 2.3 GFA home average to pressure a porous HSV defense (2.4 GA avg in last 5). Expect a high…

Betting angles

Market Lean: Bayer Leverkusen
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 75%
Goals
Bayer Leverkusen 67% · Hamburger SV 83% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 83%
Both teams
Bayer Leverkusen 83% · Hamburger SV 83% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Low risk
  • Model confidence: 70% · Data quality: high
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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