Serie A · AI Match Analysis

Bahia
Bahia crest
VS
Regular Season - 18
Botafogo crest
Botafogo

Bahia vs BotafogoAI Prediction & Match Report

Sat 30 May 2026, 20:30 UTC Serie A Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador D. Lacerda Confidence 54%
26 Watching

Match overview

Bahia win
30%
Draw
28%
Botafogo win
42%

A Serie A mid-table clash where 8th-placed Bahia (23 pts) hosts 10th-placed Botafogo (22 pts). Despite the standings, form is heavily polarized: Bahia is winless in five (0W-2D-3L), while Botafogo has won three of their last five (3W-1D-1L).

Team news & motivation

Bahia
Home
WLDLL
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Botafogo
Away
?LWDW
Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Injuries & suspensions

Bahia
  • Leo Vieira Injury
  • Luciano Juba Injury
  • Nicolas Acevedo Yellow Cards
  • Ruan Pablo Ankle Injury
  • Leo Vieira Injury
  • Luciano Juba Injury
  • Nicolas Acevedo Yellow Cards
  • Ruan Pablo Ankle Injury
Botafogo
  • Allan Muscle Injury
  • Bastos Injury
  • J. Correa Yellow Cards
  • Danilo Santos Inactive
  • Junior Santos Foot Injury
  • Kaio Pantaleao Knee Injury
  • Nathan Fernandes Knee Injury
  • Allan Muscle Injury
  • Bastos Injury
  • J. Correa Yellow Cards
  • Danilo Santos Inactive
  • Junior Santos Foot Injury
  • Kaio Pantaleao Knee Injury
  • Nathan Fernandes Knee Injury

Probable lineups

Bahia
4-3-3
Coach: Ceni Rogerio
Starting XI
  • 01 Ronaldo Strada · G
  • 02 Gilberto · D
  • 33 David Duarte · D
  • 21 S. Ramos · D
  • 66 Ze Guilherme · D
  • 14 Erick · M
  • 08 Caio Alexandre · M
  • 11 Rodrigo · M
  • 16 Erick Pulga · F
  • 12 Willian Jose · F
  • 99 C. Olivera · F
Bench
Victor · Everton Ribeiro · Ademir · Michel Araujo · M. Sanabria · R. Gomez · Everaldo · Jean Lucas · Kanu · Gabriel Xavier · Marcos Victor · Caio Suassuna
Botafogo
4-2-3-1
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Starting XI
  • 22 Neto · G
  • 04 M. Ponte · D
  • 05 N. Ferraresi · D
  • 34 G. Justino · D
  • 13 Alex Telles · D
  • 75 Huguinho · M
  • 06 C. Medina · M
  • 77 L. M. Villalba Jaume · M
  • 10 A. Montoro · M
  • 59 Kauan Toledo · M
  • 19 Arthur Cabral · F
Bench
Raul Steffens · Vitinho · Newton · S. Rodriguez · Caio Roque · J. Barrera · Edenilson · C. Ramos · Matheus Martins · Ythallo · Anthony · Caio Valle

Tactical analysis

Botafogo is expected to dictate the early tempo, leveraging their 2.0 GFA form to test a Bahia defense that conceded early against Cruzeiro and Remo. A goal window between [score withheld] minutes is likely for the visitors. In the second half, expect Bahia to dominate possession as Botafogo's fatigue (3 games in 10 days) kicks, leading to a more chaotic, high-variance finish.

Bahia
4-3-3
Goals / game
1.50
Conceded / game
1.83
Botafogo
4-2-3-1
Goals / game
2.20
Conceded / game
1.00

Key stats

Bahia
Stat
Botafogo
  • 17
    Played
    17
  • 7
    Wins
    6
  • 5
    Draws
    4
  • 5
    Losses
    7
  • 25
    Goals for
    31
  • 23
    Goals against
    31
  • 1.50
    Avg goals for
    1.80
  • 1.40
    Avg goals against
    1.80
  • 4
    Clean sheets
    1
  • 1
    Failed to score
    2
  • 100%
    BTTS (last 6)
    80%
  • 83%
    Over 2.5 (last 6)
    80%
Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

No verified historical meetings between Bahia and Botafogo.
Bahia — last 6
  • WH · Botafogo30 May 202621
  • LA · Coritiba25 May 202623
  • DH · Gremio17 May 202611
  • LA · Remo14 May 202612
  • LH · Cruzeiro10 May 202612
  • DA · Sao Paulo3 May 202622
Botafogo — last 6
  • ?A · CSKA Moscow4 Jul 2026??
  • LA · Bahia30 May 202612
  • WA · Caracas FC27 May 202631
  • DA · Sao Paulo23 May 202611
  • WA · Independiente Petrolero21 May 202630
  • WH · Corinthians17 May 202631

Prediction model

OddysAI model output
Home 30%Draw 28%Away 42%
Best market
Market Lean: Botafogo
Expected match script
Botafogo is expected to dictate the early tempo, leveraging their 2.0 GFA form to test a Bahia defense that conceded early against Cruzeiro and Remo. A goal wi…

Betting angles

Market Lean: Botafogo
Primary
Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.
Over 2.5 trend: 82%
Goals
Bahia 83% · Botafogo 80% across each side's last 6 matches.
BTTS trend: 90%
Both teams
Bahia 100% · Botafogo 80% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer
Medium risk
  • Model confidence: 54% · Data quality: medium
  • Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
  • OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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