Serie A · AI Match Analysis

Bahia

Regular Season - 18

Botafogo

Bahia vs BotafogoAI Prediction & Match Report

Sat 30 May 2026, 20:30 UTC Serie A Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador D. Lacerda Confidence 54%

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Match overview

Bahia win

30%

Draw

28%

Botafogo win

42%

A Serie A mid-table clash where 8th-placed Bahia (23 pts) hosts 10th-placed Botafogo (22 pts). Despite the standings, form is heavily polarized: Bahia is winless in five (0W-2D-3L), while Botafogo has won three of their last five (3W-1D-1L).

Team news & motivation

Bahia

Home

WLDLL

Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Botafogo

Away

?LWDW

Group / table position unavailable.

Standings context unavailable — motivation read will refresh once the league table is in.

Injuries & suspensions

Bahia

Leo Vieira — Injury
Luciano Juba — Injury
Nicolas Acevedo — Yellow Cards
Ruan Pablo — Ankle Injury
Leo Vieira — Injury
Luciano Juba — Injury
Nicolas Acevedo — Yellow Cards
Ruan Pablo — Ankle Injury

Botafogo

Allan — Muscle Injury
Bastos — Injury
J. Correa — Yellow Cards
Danilo Santos — Inactive
Junior Santos — Foot Injury
Kaio Pantaleao — Knee Injury
Nathan Fernandes — Knee Injury
Allan — Muscle Injury
Bastos — Injury
J. Correa — Yellow Cards
Danilo Santos — Inactive
Junior Santos — Foot Injury
Kaio Pantaleao — Knee Injury
Nathan Fernandes — Knee Injury

Probable lineups

Bahia

4-3-3

Coach: Ceni Rogerio

Starting XI

01 Ronaldo Strada · G
02 Gilberto · D
33 David Duarte · D
21 S. Ramos · D
66 Ze Guilherme · D
14 Erick · M
08 Caio Alexandre · M
11 Rodrigo · M
16 Erick Pulga · F
12 Willian Jose · F
99 C. Olivera · F

Bench

Victor · Everton Ribeiro · Ademir · Michel Araujo · M. Sanabria · R. Gomez · Everaldo · Jean Lucas · Kanu · Gabriel Xavier · Marcos Victor · Caio Suassuna

Botafogo

4-2-3-1

Coach: Franclim Carvalho

Starting XI

22 Neto · G
04 M. Ponte · D
05 N. Ferraresi · D
34 G. Justino · D
13 Alex Telles · D
75 Huguinho · M
06 C. Medina · M
77 L. M. Villalba Jaume · M
10 A. Montoro · M
59 Kauan Toledo · M
19 Arthur Cabral · F

Bench

Raul Steffens · Vitinho · Newton · S. Rodriguez · Caio Roque · J. Barrera · Edenilson · C. Ramos · Matheus Martins · Ythallo · Anthony · Caio Valle

Tactical analysis

Botafogo is expected to dictate the early tempo, leveraging their 2.0 GFA form to test a Bahia defense that conceded early against Cruzeiro and Remo. A goal window between [score withheld] minutes is likely for the visitors. In the second half, expect Bahia to dominate possession as Botafogo's fatigue (3 games in 10 days) kicks, leading to a more chaotic, high-variance finish.

Bahia

4-3-3

Goals / game

1.50

Conceded / game

1.83

Botafogo

4-2-3-1

Goals / game

2.20

Conceded / game

1.00

Key stats

Bahia

Stat

Botafogo

17
Played
17
7
Wins
6
5
Draws
4
5
Losses
7
25
Goals for
31
23
Goals against
31
1.50
Avg goals for
1.80
1.40
Avg goals against
1.80
4
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
2
100%
BTTS (last 6)
80%
83%
Over 2.5 (last 6)
80%

Shots, corners, cards & xG breakdown require provider live feeds and will appear when this competition exposes them.

Head-to-head & recent form

No verified historical meetings between Bahia and Botafogo.

Bahia — last 6

WH · Botafogo30 May 20262–1
LA · Coritiba25 May 20262–3
DH · Gremio17 May 20261–1
LA · Remo14 May 20261–2
LH · Cruzeiro10 May 20261–2
DA · Sao Paulo3 May 20262–2

Botafogo — last 6

?A · CSKA Moscow4 Jul 2026?–?
LA · Bahia30 May 20261–2
WA · Caracas FC27 May 20263–1
DA · Sao Paulo23 May 20261–1
WA · Independiente Petrolero21 May 20263–0
WH · Corinthians17 May 20263–1

Prediction model

OddysAI model output

Home 30%Draw 28%Away 42%

Best market

Market Lean: Botafogo

Expected match script

Botafogo is expected to dictate the early tempo, leveraging their 2.0 GFA form to test a Bahia defense that conceded early against Cruzeiro and Remo. A goal wi…

Betting angles

Market Lean: Botafogo

Primary

Model's highest-confidence market for this fixture.

Over 2.5 trend: 82%

Goals

Bahia 83% · Botafogo 80% across each side's last 6 matches.

BTTS trend: 90%

Both teams

Bahia 100% · Botafogo 80% in their last 6.

Risk warning

Responsible-betting disclaimer

Medium risk

Model confidence: 54% · Data quality: medium
Lineups, injuries and momentum can move sharply in the final hour before kickoff — always re-check before placing a bet.
OddysAI surfaces analytical edge, not guarantees. Stake responsibly and never chase losses.

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